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#Gate广场四月发帖挑战 The ongoing conflict in the Persian Gulf is triggering a global financial storm—keep enough cash on hand and wait for the bottom-fishing opportunity.
【Market Overview】
The conflict between the US, Israel, and Iran remains tense, with Brent crude oil rising above $111. Meanwhile, the US dollar index has broken through 100 points, and various financial assets are experiencing increased volatility. Market rumors suggest that old Trump has been hospitalized or even "gone," and the international financial markets are anxious as they wait.
【Gold and Silver Performance Remains Stable】Currently, gold and silver are still above major support levels, so overall, there is little cause for concern. From the monthly chart, gold and silver have experienced a significant correction after months of sharp gains. Although this is largely driven by the US Treasury Department and the aggressive suppression by the five major Jewish Wall Street firms, the technical patterns have not deteriorated. If there is another sharp decline, it could be a good opportunity to buy the dip.
【The Biggest Risk Point: Yen Collapse】It must be emphasized again: Will the Persian Gulf War trigger a collapse of the yen and Japanese government bonds, and then ignite a global financial storm involving the US dollar, US bonds, and US stocks that has been brewing for over a decade? This is a black swan event we must guard against.
【Main Trading Strategy: Keep Enough Cash】Therefore, the current main strategy is very clear: reduce positions on rallies, keep 30%–50% of cash, and wait for the bottom-fishing opportunities brought by this global financial storm. Don’t focus too much on short-term gains or losses; risk prevention is the top priority.
【Gold and Silver Rhythm】Gold and silver are attractive, but the capital invested in them has been highly profitable over the past two years, and liquidity is excellent. During the initial phase of a financial crisis, they will likely face a fierce sell-off (capital cash-out to preserve life), potentially dropping 30%–40%. Afterwards, a V-shaped reversal may occur, and with global chaos, new highs could be reached.
Conclusion: Be cautious in the short term, keep enough cash; be optimistic in the long term, with no upper limit.
【Other Assets】International crude oil is likely to continue rising and can be accumulated on dips. The RMB’s slight steady appreciation trend remains unchanged, and the collapse of the yen is only a matter of time. Bitcoin is also unlikely to escape this impact. The US Coffee Index is currently at 295, rebounding after four consecutive months of decline, but the medium- and long-term trend remains unclear.
【Ultimate Risk: Global Hyperinflation】Some financial experts warn that after the Persian Gulf War causes oil prices to surge, global inflation will spiral out of control. In the second half of this year and into the end of the year, food prices may skyrocket, and next year, the world could face hyperinflation. If it comes to this, physical gold and silver will be the best investments.
The above views are personal analyses and do not constitute any investment advice.
【Market Overview】
The conflict between the US, Israel, and Iran remains tense, with Brent crude oil rising above $111. Meanwhile, the US dollar index has broken through 100 points, and various financial assets are experiencing increased volatility. Market rumors suggest that old Trump has been hospitalized or even "gone," and the international financial markets are anxious as they wait.
【Gold and Silver Performance Remains Stable】Currently, gold and silver are still above major support levels, so overall, there is little cause for concern. From the monthly chart, gold and silver have experienced a significant correction after months of sharp gains. Although this is largely driven by the US Treasury Department and the aggressive suppression by the five major Jewish Wall Street firms, the technical patterns have not deteriorated. If there is another sharp decline, it could be a good opportunity to buy the dip.
【The Biggest Risk Point: Yen Collapse】It must be emphasized again: Will the Persian Gulf War trigger a collapse of the yen and Japanese government bonds, and then ignite a global financial storm involving the US dollar, US bonds, and US stocks that has been brewing for over a decade? This is a black swan event we must guard against.
【Main Trading Strategy: Keep Enough Cash】Therefore, the current main strategy is very clear: reduce positions on rallies, keep 30%–50% of cash, and wait for the bottom-fishing opportunities brought by this global financial storm. Don’t focus too much on short-term gains or losses; risk prevention is the top priority.
【Gold and Silver Rhythm】Gold and silver are attractive, but the capital invested in them has been highly profitable over the past two years, and liquidity is excellent. During the initial phase of a financial crisis, they will likely face a fierce sell-off (capital cash-out to preserve life), potentially dropping 30%–40%. Afterwards, a V-shaped reversal may occur, and with global chaos, new highs could be reached.
Conclusion: Be cautious in the short term, keep enough cash; be optimistic in the long term, with no upper limit.
【Other Assets】International crude oil is likely to continue rising and can be accumulated on dips. The RMB’s slight steady appreciation trend remains unchanged, and the collapse of the yen is only a matter of time. Bitcoin is also unlikely to escape this impact. The US Coffee Index is currently at 295, rebounding after four consecutive months of decline, but the medium- and long-term trend remains unclear.
【Ultimate Risk: Global Hyperinflation】Some financial experts warn that after the Persian Gulf War causes oil prices to surge, global inflation will spiral out of control. In the second half of this year and into the end of the year, food prices may skyrocket, and next year, the world could face hyperinflation. If it comes to this, physical gold and silver will be the best investments.
The above views are personal analyses and do not constitute any investment advice.
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