Author: 0xWeilan
"Currently, as the prospects of interest rate cuts encounter new twists and risk appetite has not fully improved, cyclical selling (cyclicality) has become the main force driving BTC's trend. Without more economic and employment data support, a shift in risk appetite could drive capital back, and if long hands continue to sell, once BTC effectively breaks below the bull-bear dividing line, a 'long liquidation' scenario may occur, significantly increasing the probability of the end of the BTC cycle."
——In the end, BTC experienced the "long squeeze" we warned about in our October report, with a monthly drop of 17.51%, marking the second-largest monthly decline of this cycle. By the end of the month, the maximum drawdown from the peak reached 36.45%, the largest in this cycle.
Technically, BTC once fell below the "Trump Bottom" constructed in the range of $90,000~$110,000 and has been operating below the 360-day moving average for three consecutive weeks. From the perspective of space and time, it has already