Jamesvanst
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At $87,500, Bitcoin is sitting exactly in the middle of the $85,000 put gamma wall and the $90,000 call gamma wall.
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SPX/Gold on a major support line.
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SPX/Gold on a major support line.
Looks like its a repeat of the 70's.
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I always look at things in probabilities.
They were once joined at the hip.
Will they join forces next year?
I think so. If so, good for Bitcoin.
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If the market was pricing in near-term risk for EOY options for bitcoin the implied volatility wouldn't be sitting near three-month lows.
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Three of the top eight assets by market cap are, by definition, "unproductive".
This allocation of capital diverts resources from growth, further erodes trust in the fiat system, increases inequality, and slows innovation.
Unfortunately all inevitable on this current trajectory
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Never listen to anyone who says not to invest in an asset class that's too big.
Gold's market cap has increased by $13T
Silver's market cap has increased by $1.6T
Price is set at the margin.
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Gold about to break out against the M2 money supply, 15 years in the making.
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The worst Q4 for Bitcoin in 7 years.
Bitcoin went onto appreciate 170% over the following two quarters.
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Bitcoin’s 85k to 90k range
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A highlight of mine this year was watching the price of bitcoin fall $28,000 in nine days.
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The common stock dilution FUD is insane as Saylor's wealth is mostly tied to his 20 million Class B shares in MSTR, economically equivalent 1:1 to publicly traded Class A shares.
A drop in Class A stock price directly reduces the value of his net worth, which the Class B make up 70%+.
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Bitcoin and IWM have the lowest correlation with each other in the past 5 years.
Mean reversion at some point.
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IBIT just filled in the opening candle gap from today.
IBIT is closing all gaps it opens.
Seems to be the new bitcoin futures.
As CME is shifting to 24/7 trading and IBIT is gaining massive liquidity. Gaps may be shifting from futures to ETF
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IBIT just filled in the opening candle gap from today.
IBIT is closing all gaps it opens.
Seems to be the new bitcoin futures.
BTC0.88%
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So the MSTR bears have gone from insolvency to saying @saylor was wrong on his timing.
Which now sounds more like an upside issue than a downside issue.
People are now criticizing @saylor for doing the cash reserve buffer too late and saying he should have ATMd while the stock was at a 3x mNAV and buying BTC at all-time highs.
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Jane Street has some work to do today.
Must have thought they could get Christmas off early.
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Everyone screaming that the world is coming to an end because gold is up 70% YTD.
Gold is up 150% over the past 5 years, it was extremely undervalued, nothing more.
It has 2.5x returns since December 2020.
It is breaking to new highs against money supply.
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I’m in contact with a lot of sell-side research analysts and that majority of them are bearish bitcoin for 2026.
We need more capitulation but we’re getting closer.
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