#BTC Monthly 21 EMA - Rule-Based Take (No Emotions) - July 2026 or Jan & Mar 2027:
🏳️By my system, this is simple: Monthly close below the 21 EMA = Bear Market Regime.
🏳️#BTC closed below the Monthly 21 EMA starting December 1st, 2025. By definition, that marks an official Bear Market regime and history tells us what typically follows from here.
🏳️Now let’s talk time, not opinions 👇:
Historical Reclaim Durations after losing the 21 EMA:
▫️ 396 days
▫️ 212 days (COVID anomaly: 181 + 31)
▫️ 457 days
🏳️Measuring from Dec 1, 2025, that gives us 3 reclaim windows:
🟢 July 2026
🔵 January 20