Crypto_Xincheng

This Week (3.30-4.5) Major Web3 Events:
March 30
G7 finance ministers, energy ministers, and central bank governors hold a meeting to discuss releasing strategic oil reserves;
EthCC 9 will be held in Cannes from March 30 to April 2;
Polymarket expands fee coverage: starting March 30, transaction fees will be charged on more markets;
Based Foundation: scheduled to conduct TGE on March 30;
March 31
FTX liquidation trust plans to initiate a new round of payout distribution on March 31;
edgeX will conduct TGE and list on March 31;
April 2
The U.S. will release new data on initial jobless claims an

Trump is about to dump again
This batch of tokens dates back to two months ago, when 18.14 million were transferred from the TRUMP Team Allocation address (team share/distribution wallet) to BitGo. At that time, the total value was approximately $81.64 million.
Similar operations have occurred repeatedly over the past few months:
The team wallet often first transfers large amounts $TRUMP to custodians like Fireblocks/BitGo, then deposits them in batches into CEX exchanges.
$TRUMP , as a political meme coin, had a huge holding in the early team and founder wallets. They use custodians like Bit

Tomorrow is Monday. Currently, the crypto market's fear index has reached 9, the lowest this year at 5, indicating extreme fear. What should we pay attention to after the market opens tomorrow:
First, monitor liquidity during the Asian session; before the data releases, the market may continue to fluctuate within a narrow range. Position management is very important, especially leverage — in low-volatility environments, sudden events can easily trigger stop-losses.
Second, geopolitical tensions (related to the Middle East) and yield pressure are still present. The market is waiting for these d

Historical Major Crashes in the U.S. Stock Market:
1907 Panic -48% Recovered in 10 years
1929 Great Depression -89% Recovered in 25 years
1973 Oil Crisis -45% Recovered in 9 years
1987 Black Monday -36% Recovered in 2 years
2000 Dot-com Bubble -78% Recovered in 13 years
2008 Financial Crisis -57% Recovered in 5.5 years
2020 COVID Flash Crash -34% Recovered in 6 months
2022 Rate Hike Shock -27% Recovered in 18 months
2025 Tariff Storm -23% Recovered in 1.5 months
Will there be a crash in 2026? We’ll see.

BTC Weekend Market Analysis
Yesterday, I warned everyone that it would drop below 69K, and as expected, it fell to the support level around 65K. The weekend market is mainly characterized by consolidation, with a range between 65.5K and 67.6K.
At the daily chart level, even if it drops further from this position, it will form a divergence between price and volume. Therefore, any downward movement from this level presents an opportunity for phased dollar-cost averaging.
There will be a rebound on smaller timeframes, but the rebound will be weak. As long as it doesn't break 67.6K, a second test

Does BP Still Have Hope?
BP is a typical case of everyone selling off after TGE—airdrop participants dumping, FOMO buyers chasing highs getting trapped, community sentiment polarized. Platform data also shows a slight outflow of user funds and a decline in trading volume, but staking rates are rising, indicating some people are choosing to hold long-term.
Fortunately, BP is not purely a hype meme; it has real business operations, regulatory backing, and a long-term narrative—IPO + equity—positioned as the first release/trading hub for Solana projects.
So, is BP still worth considering?
Advanta

BTC Market Analysis
The idea I shared yesterday was that if it doesn't break above 71,600, it will fall. As expected, it declined as predicted yesterday.
Currently, on the daily chart, it is hovering near the zero line and has formed a death cross, indicating that this position could accelerate at any time.
On the 4-hour chart, it has already broken below the zero line. Watch whether 67,600 can hold below (most likely it won't), and if it can't, it will move toward 65,000-62,000.
Resistance: 69,300-71,000

BTC sideways trading, what makes TAO capable of doubling?
The AI sector is booming🔥, many OGs and miners in the crypto space are turning to AI. Although the AI track in crypto hasn't shown any standout projects, it shouldn't be ignored. Over the past month, the leading crypto AI project $TAO has doubled in value.
TAO is positioned as a decentralized infrastructure platform for AI and encrypted data, focused on decentralized machine learning. It is not just a simple provider of computing power, nor solely focused on autonomous agents, and it’s not a single AI service marketplace. Instead, i

# Major Events Today - March 26
1. **U.S. Weekly Initial Jobless Claims (20:30)** – High-frequency labor market indicator
Expected range roughly around 207K-215K. Based on actual data:
- ① Significantly below expectations (e.g., <205K): Strong employment signal → U.S. Treasury yields likely to rise, dollar strengthens, rate-cut expectations fall back, short-term headwinds for risk assets (stocks, crypto).
- ② Meets or slightly exceeds expectations (210K-215K): Neutral, market may show no dramatic reaction; continue monitoring Fed's policy path.
- ③ Significantly exceeds expectations (>220K): S

ONDO can't necessarily be called the leader in RWA, but it's definitely the top 1 in tokenized products. This bear market has shown us that all exchanges are deploying tokenized traditional finance, and basically all tokenized stocks listed on exchanges are issued through ONDO.
This collaboration with the world's largest asset management company, Franklin Templeton with $17 trillion in assets, is no casual partnership. It's equivalent to giving ONDO an "institutional-grade endorsement stamp," which will greatly boost market confidence, attract more partners and capital inflows. This is the fir

BTC Market Analysis
The week is coming to an end, followed by the weekend market. After experiencing a large bullish candle rebound this week, the uptrend momentum did not continue. Currently, the daily level appears to be rebounding upward, but the rebound strength remains limited. What needs to be watched is whether the 4-hour level can solidly hold 71600. In the short term, it will oscillate around 69400~71600. If 69400 is not broken, it will form a 4-hour inverse head and shoulders pattern, and then move up to around 74600. However, if 71600 continues to be unable to break and drops below

ETH About to Take Off 🛫
Ethereum is about to rebound at the 4-hour level zero axis and the 12-hour zero axis rebound
The daily level has been hovering near the bullish side, with the bottom gradually rising. Each level is near the zero axis and about to initiate a bullish push, but the rebound strength upward is limited. Next, we need to focus on whether the 2350 level can break through. If it breaks, it will move around 2700
In summary, what needs to be focused on next is the 4-hour level at 2170. As long as it doesn't break, it will gradually move upward
Resistance: 2300-2350
Support: 2170-

#BTC
The daily bottom is gradually rising and is now hovering around the zero line. When it comes to directional choices, attention should be paid to the initiation of the 4-hour order flow. The 4-hour level is currently trading above the zero line. The next focus is whether the 1-hour order flow can stabilize above the 71600 level. If it does, the price will continue upward. The idea I shared yesterday was that as long as it does not break below 69500, we should expect a rebound, and yesterday it just retested that level and bounced.
The next rebound to watch is in the 74500~80000 range.

#BTC
The bottom at the daily level is gradually rising and is now hovering around the zero line. When it comes to directional choices, attention should be paid to the initiation of the 4-hour order flow. The 4-hour level is currently trading above the zero line. Next, focus on whether the 1-hour order flow can stabilize above the 71,600 level. If it does, the price will continue upward. The idea I shared yesterday was that as long as it does not break below 69,500, a rebound is expected, and yesterday it just retraced to that level and experienced a rebound.
Moving forward, attention shoul

BTC
Yesterday, it rebounded quickly by 6%, but this did not change the overall trend direction.
From the daily chart perspective, this level has repeatedly tested the bottom, but the downward trend has not been reversed. Attention should be paid to the fast and slow lines—they must not break below the zero axis, and a golden cross near the zero axis is necessary for the trend to continue. Based on the current situation, the rebound strength is unlikely to be significant. Even with positive news, a rebound to 80K is probably the maximum.
On the 1-hour chart, the price made a second retest a

📈 As a cryptocurrency investor, what mindset should you maintain to face the current stage and market conditions?
Facing the current market conditions in March 2026, with BTC hovering around $70,000, total market cap at approximately $2.4T, and a decline of over 40% from the 2025 peak, the most important thing is to maintain clarity, patience, and long-term conviction. This is not a "crash," but a typical correction/bottom-building phase after a bull market—macroeconomic pressures (geopolitical tensions, Federal Reserve policy uncertainty, deleveraging) create short-term volatility, but susta

Saylor stated that MicroStrategy currently holds 762,099 BTC with an average cost of $75,694. The current price is $70,000, which is lower than MicroStrategy's cost basis. Even if you buy in now, your cost would be lower than MicroStrategy's.
Current prices are being manipulated in coordination with negative news released by whales and geopolitical issues, causing repeated washouts to force retail traders to sell their chips at low prices. This aligns with the bear market washout stages I shared with everyone yesterday. So while prices appear to be falling and retail market sentiment is extrem

Summary: Gold is about to welcome short-term opportunities, with wide-range oscillations at high levels
Asian markets have been hoarding oil like crazy these past few days. #92 gasoline has already risen to 9.4 yuan, and people can't afford to fill up anymore
Gold has also sharply retreated accordingly. This pullback is mainly due to some institutions rebalancing their portfolios, shifting from gold to higher-yield bonds/cash. Although central bank gold purchases are still ongoing, the scale has slowed compared to peak years, weakening the price support effect
Gold right now is not about lack

Bitcoin is about to go to $20W
BTC is currently in a relay decline after wave 2, wave 3 decline is about to appear. After wave 3 decline completes, there will be a shock consolidation and then a direct thrust to $20W
But there's still a long way to go in the short term, hold #uadt and wait