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Regarding the prediction that the rebound high point is 3600, why did I start shorting around 3168?
Because predictions are not actual, at each stage, with each upward move, the probability of a decline becomes greater.
For opening positions, from 3168 to 3260 or even to 3420, each time either a pullback is eaten or a break-even stop loss is set.
Without incurring losses, you can keep testing the top.
Each time you open a position, you use 10% of the funds in a tenfold contract; after a loss, it is added to the next trade.
For example, opening a tenfold contract at 3168 with 10% of the funds,

My trading decisions are based on the belief that the bear market has not ended yet.
I previously drew a chart, placing the high point of the rebound B wave around 97,000 for Bitcoin, corresponding to about 3,600 for Ethereum. During this period, I kept adding to my short positions.
There are many voices in the market, but until I see a confirmed reversal signal, I remain bearish. Secondly, my trading approach is very tight and conservative; even if I open a position in the opposite direction, it’s only to break even. In many cases, I can even profit from pullbacks and corrections if the overa

These are the pending orders I predicted after triggering at 3168 yesterday, all genuinely placed for you to see.

This is the original planned order, and I will forward it again. Assuming that 3260 reverses again and results in a breakeven loss, the next position to add will be around 3420.
After placing the 3260 order, it has already been filled, just like the 3168 order. If you don't close it early for profit, and want to maintain the breakeven loss at 3258, continue to wait.
My order at 3133 yesterday could indeed have been closed for a profit, but I was reviewing and didn't have time to monitor the market. I only received emails and messages when the reversal happened, and I only found out when I hit

Bch was just recently modified and then damaged, it seems the guess was right, there is no top for now. The market maker wants to sell mining machines, so they have been pushing the price up recently, but after pushing up, it will still go down. You can refer to zec.
The previous high of bch was 720, and the top is unknown for now, so it's all about trying to short at double.
Since there are no fees deducted after breakeven loss, you can treat it as if you never opened the position, and the impact is minimal.
Regarding the Ethereum order at 3168 yesterday, I entered too early. In the end, tryi

Short position above 650 on BCH. Currently at 645, you can now set the break-even stop at 648 instead of waiting for a drop below 640 as originally planned. You can now do it in advance.

Ethereum, as originally planned, was protected at 3165 and incurred a loss. Orders at 3260 triggered, reaching a high of 3633 and touching the top again. Now at 3233, with a break-even point at 3258, continue to probe. No loss, slowly reaching the top. BCH is a long-term double short, do not treat it as a short-term trade.

It's already 3133, remember to adjust the principal protection loss, and take it offline.

The short positions on ETH and BCH have been fully explained before and after. If there are other issues with the holdings before January 16th, please leave a message here. During review and exam periods, I won't be online for long, but I will respond to messages when I have free time.

Note that BCH is a long-term short position with a 1x leverage. The top is currently unknown. The add position is at 720, the short-term take-profit level is 600, and the long-term view is 464. Therefore, this is a personal operation for reference only.

It's coming down, already below my 3168 breakout order. If you regret now and think the market is bullish, it's still completely possible to close the position and settle. If you're afraid, just protect your capital with a stop-loss; you won't lose money anymore. I will only set the stop-loss at 3140.

As long as BCH opens short positions above 650, once it falls below 640, the breakeven loss can be adjusted to 648. The take-profit level is around 600.

3168 is my entry position for the order, with the optimal entry point at 3220. Therefore, for a better entry point, here is an alternative suggestion.
If you can short at 3200 or above, which is more than 30 points better than my position, you can set a break-even stop-loss at 3180. If you entered at the same position as me at 3168, you need to wait for a break below 3140 to adjust the break-even stop-loss.
Opening orders is always flexible; the market can reverse at any time. What you need to do is to plan thoroughly and respond flexibly.

From the perspective of opening orders, I don't just go short or long; I am not a staunch bear or bull. Instead, I predict the probability of upward or downward movement based on the trend, and enter the market from a relatively good position. Even if I open in the wrong direction, I can high-probabilityly protect my capital through timely re-entries or pullbacks.
In other words, if I open in the wrong direction, as long as I can trigger a stop-loss to protect my capital, I generally won't hold on stubbornly. However, I also predict and assume the market's strong liquidation price if I were t

Ethereum gave a breakout signal, but it hasn't reached 3260. Don't add positions midway; just follow the plan. As long as the main position stays above 3168, it's better than my entry point.

After opening a 3168 short position
Market Scenario 1: Forced breakout upwards, action: add to short positions at 3260, 3400
Margin reinforcement liquidation price > 4200
Market Scenario 2: Pull back below 3100, action: break-even at 3165, if it stabilizes near 3100 then close
If it cannot stabilize, then target 2800
Since I cannot update in real-time during review, I’ll mention the direction in advance. I will follow this approach moving forward.

The position I opened at 3168 is 5% of a 10x leverage contract. For example, with $1000, that’s $50 margin, a position size of $500, with additional entries at 3260 and 3420. Someone on the forum started calling for 4000, so I took the opposite side. Be cautious when copying trades.