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#TRUMP As of 2026/01/10, the probability grading of TRUMP token explosion risk (combining Jintou Data macro/on-chain/regulatory/emotion dimensions, with "explosion" defined as: single-day decline ≥50%, liquidity exhaustion, SEC investigation/delistment, team跑路)
Core probability and time window
- Short-term (within 1 month, including the unlock on January 18): High (65%)
- Key drivers: Unlocking 50 million tokens on January 18 (about $270 million), team withdrawing $94 million USDC from liquidity pools within three weeks, Meme hype fading + trading volume shrinking, macro liquidity tightening
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View OriginalCore probability and time window
- Short-term (within 1 month, including the unlock on January 18): High (65%)
- Key drivers: Unlocking 50 million tokens on January 18 (about $270 million), team withdrawing $94 million USDC from liquidity pools within three weeks, Meme hype fading + trading volume shrinking, macro liquidity tightening
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