Polymarket Trader Bets $150K on U.S. Alien Confirmation Before 2027

Primitive Ventures: The "East-West Divide" in Prediction Markets — Why Are We Betting on Opinion Labs?

The article discusses the evolution of prediction markets, particularly how Opinion Labs has made breakthroughs in liquidity and localized belief trading through AI technology. There are significant differences between Eastern and Western markets in terms of focus and participation methods; the East emphasizes content and entertainment, while the West is moving towards financialization. Ultimately, Prediction Market 2.0 has evolved into a culturally driven, diversified development path.

$1.2M in Profits Tied to Insider-Linked Addresses in ZachXBT Market Bet

_Eight insider-linked wallets captured $1.2M in profits, mostly from single-market bets placed before odds shifted._ On-chain data has intensified scrutiny around a Polymarket event linked to a ZachXBT insider probe. Trading records show heavy profit concentration among a small cluster of wallet

Prediction Markets Are Challenging Traditional Polling

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi offer a financial-based alternative to traditional polling, enhancing predictive accuracy by requiring participants to invest real money. Despite criticisms regarding participant demographics and potential manipulation, they are gaining traction among investors and strategists, potentially reshaping forecasting methods.

ZachXBT exposes insider trading at Axiom, with Polymarket insiders profiting over $1.2 million in advance

Polymarket platform exposed an insider trading incident involving the use of non-public information for profit, with 8 addresses profiting over $1.2 million, harming the interests of ordinary investors. Data shows that 52 regular addresses lost over $1.6 million. The incident has sparked discussions about transparency and insider trading in decentralized finance, potentially prompting regulatory attention to compliance issues.

The 23 Major Flaws of the Prediction Market

Crypto KOL Alexander Lin points out that prediction markets have 23 flaws, including low capital efficiency, insufficient liquidity, lack of natural hedgers, and market manipulation risks. These issues make prediction markets difficult to become mainstream financial tools, contrasting with the effectiveness and liquidity of traditional financial institutions.

CFTC Cracks Down on Prediction Market Abuse as Insider Trading Cases Surface on Kalshi

Federal regulators are emphasizing oversight expectations for prediction markets, using recent enforcement activity on KalshiEX to signal that event contract trading faces the same insider trading, fraud, and market integrity standards as traditional derivatives markets. Kalshi Cases Prompt Federa