Prediction Market

Gate News message, April 24 — Polymarket introduced a new Steam account login option, expanding access methods for users. Saturn increased its STRC holdings, with total positions valued at $33 million. A Balancer hacker converted 7,000 ETH into 204.7 BTC, equivalent to approximately $15.88 million,

The Wisconsin Department of Justice filed three complaints on Thursday in Dane County against Kalshi, Robinhood, Coinbase, Polymarket, and Crypto.com, alleging that their sports-related event contract offerings constitute illegal gambling under state law. Wisconsin Attorney General Josh Kaul stated

The U.S. Department of Justice in the Southern District of New York has indicted U.S. Army Special Forces officer chief Gannon Ken Van Dyke, alleging that he used classified information to bet on Polymarket on the outcome of Maduro’s arrest, earning approximately $409,881 (13 transactions, 2025-12-27 to 2026-1-26). The charges include illegal use of confidential information, theft of nonpublic information, commodity transaction fraud, wire fraud, and illegal money transactions, among others. It is described as the first federal prosecution centered on insider trading and arbitrage with a prediction market, which may affect future regulatory directions.

According to an official press release issued by Wisconsin Attorney General Josh Kaul on April 23, Wisconsin has sued Kalshi in Dane County, alleging that the platform’s prediction market business, which operates in the form of “event contracts,” falls within the legal definition of gambling under Wisconsin law and constitutes an unlicensed gambling activity.

Gate News message, April 24 — The U.S. Department of Justice has arrested active-duty Army soldier Gannon Ken Van Dyke, 38, on charges of using confidential information to place bets on Polymarket, a prediction market, regarding former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro's capture. Van Dyke particip

Gate News message, April 24 — According to Odaily Seer, an account that has suffered losses exceeding $4 million placed a $100,000 bet on Denver Nuggets to beat Minnesota Timberwolves with a 1.5-point spread at an average entry price of 46 cents on Polymarket, approximately 10 minutes before

The U.S. Department of Justice arrested a U.S. military servicemember on April 23, accusing him of using classified information to place bets on the prediction market Polymarket that Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro would be arrested, resulting in profits of more than $400k from an initial wager of more than $33k. On Thursday, U.S. President Trump said he will investigate whether federal employees have been placing bets on sports betting platforms, criticizing, “the world has become a casino.”

Pyth feeds will settle Kalshi contracts on assets like gold, oil, and soybeans with continuous pricing beyond exchange hours. The system aggregates data from 125+ institutions, ensuring real-time coverage across commodities trading without interruptions. Kalshi expands amid regulatory

Gate News message, April 23 — According to Polymarket, the prediction market platform, there is a 73% probability that MegaETH token will exceed a fully diluted valuation (FDV) of $1 billion on its launch day, with a 32% probability of exceeding $2 billion. MegaETH is scheduled for token generation

Gate News message, April 23 — Prediction markets platform Kalshi has fined and suspended three congressional candidates for wagering on the outcomes of their own campaigns, stepping up enforcement of insider trading controls. Mark Moran, running for a Senate seat in Virginia, received a $6,229

Gate News message, April 23 — Polymarket, a crypto prediction market platform, has drawn insider trading allegations following a surge in trading volume around predictions related to U.S. President Donald Trump's policies and statements. Between April 5 and 8, markets predicting outcomes related to

Gate News message, April 23 — AI prediction market protocol Delphi has officially launched on Gensyn, an AI computing protocol, enabling humans and AI agents to conduct prediction trades on the same platform. Settlement is completed on-chain through verified AI oracles. Gensyn previously launched D

Gate News message, April 23 — Microsoft evaluated the possibility of acquiring AI coding tool company Cursor but ultimately did not proceed with the transaction. SpaceX subsequently secured an agreement to acquire Cursor at a $60 billion valuation, with a $10 billion breakup fee if the acquisition i

Polymarket traders won more than $35,000 after temperature sensor spikes near Paris-Charles de Gaulle airport resolved long-shot weather bets in their favor, prompting France's national weather agency to file a police complaint. The incidents occurred on April 6 and April 15, when a Météo France sen

Gate News message, April 23 — Polymarket, a prediction market platform, saw trading volume surge to over $100 million during the U.S.-Iran tensions from April 5 to April 8. According to Dune data, 413 million trades related to Iran conflict occurred during this four-day period, driven by uncertainty

Gate News message, April 23 — Prediction market platform Kalshi has partnered with crypto oracle protocol Pyth as a data provider for its newly launched Commodities Hub, an interface enabling users to trade binary options on commodities including Brent crude oil, gold, lithium, and soybeans. Pyth wi

Vitalik Buterin made comments on April 23 regarding the Polymarket platform fan controller manipulation incident, saying that for this kind of event, prediction markets should be required to use at least 3 (or even more) independent sources’ medians as the basis for adjudication. Earlier, a user used a fan to raise the temperature data collected at a Paris weather sensing terminal, manipulated the outcome of a weather-related prediction market event, and profited about $34,000.

According to SolanaFloor’s April 23 report, the Solana-based decentralized trading aggregation platform Jupiter has officially launched the Jupiter Prediction Bot, bringing prediction market functionality to the Telegram platform so users can access prediction markets without leaving their messaging app.

Gate News message, April 23 — A high-performing trader (ID: Car, address: 0x7c3db723f1d4d8cb9c550095203b686cb11e5c6b) with over $1.25 million in lifetime profits has accumulated approximately $34,000 in "No" positions on Polymarket's "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?" prediction market,