Developments in the Last 72 Hours


February 6 Muscat Talks: The US side included figures such as Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, while Iran was represented by Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi. The Iranian side described the talks as a "good start" and stated that it was "a long way to go in building trust." US President Donald Trump described the talks as "very good" and announced that a new round would be held next week. Iran's Red Lines:
The talks will be limited to the nuclear issue only.
Reducing uranium enrichment to zero is absolutely unacceptable — "Enrichment is Iran's right" (Araghchi, February 8).
The ballistic missile program and regional allies (Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) are absolutely out of the question.
The US military buildup in the region is seen as a "provocation."
US Demands:
Zero uranium enrichment.
Severely limiting the range of ballistic missiles.
Completely cutting off support to proxy forces in the region. Addressing human rights violations and the suppression of protests.
Although Iran signaled flexibility regarding the dilution of highly enriched uranium (February 9th statements), this offer has not yet been deemed sufficient by the US.
Elements of Turmoil
While the Iranian side conveyed the message that "the US is not serious, they will not be able to intimidate us," it was simultaneously reported that Khorramshahr-4 ballistic missiles were being deployed and tested in underground facilities.
The US warned its citizens to "leave Iran immediately" before the talks and continues to keep the Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier group in the Gulf.
Iranian domestic politics are also tense: Repression continues, with thousands of protesters killed, and the regime is hardening its stance.
The Israeli factor: Netanyahu will discuss the Iran issue with Trump at the White House on February 11th. Israel considers the talks a "time-gaining tactic" and demands a comprehensive agreement.
General Assessment
The current situation is proceeding on a fine line between diplomacy and military tension. Both sides say "let's keep talking," but there are no concrete concessions. The Iranian regime appears to be trying to buy time, while the Trump administration is pursuing a "maximalist" deal and keeping the military option on the table in case of failure. In short: Although the talks are presented as a "good start," the hashtag #USIranNuclearTalksTurmoil is trending precisely because of this: A real deal is not in sight; stalemate and tension prevail. What the next round (likely this week) brings is critically important.
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#USIranNuclearTalksTurmoil
✨Current situation
Nuclear negotiations between the US and Iran, following weeks of tension and fears of war, concluded today in an indirect format in Muscat, the capital of Oman. The talks ended with both sides demonstrating a "will to continue," but deep disagreements and mistrust remain on the table.
Today's Developments (February 6, 2026)
The talks are over: Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi described the negotiations as "a very good start" and said "an understanding was reached that the talks will continue." However, it was stated that there would be no immediate new round, but rather progress following consultations in the capitals.
Format and participants: The talks were held indirectly (US and Iranian representatives did not meet directly face-to-face; communication was facilitated through Oman). On the US side, Middle East special envoy Steve Witkoff and Trump's son-in-law Jared Kushner participated. CENTCOM commander noted: The presence of the US Central Command (CENTCOM) commander at the talks was interpreted as a strong signal that Washington is still keeping the military option on the table. Iran's red lines are clear: Tehran reiterated that it will not discuss any issues other than its nuclear program (ballistic missiles, regional proxy forces). It categorically refused to completely halt uranium enrichment or send its stockpiles abroad.
US demands are broad: The Trump administration wants to put not only the nuclear program but also the ballistic missile program and support for proxy groups such as Hezbollah and Hamas on the table. The goal of "zero nuclear capacity" remains the official stance.
General Situation and Atmosphere
The talks come after the US airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities in recent months, the crackdown protests in Tehran, and the deployment of US naval forces to the Gulf. Both sides sent the message of "keeping the diplomatic path open," but mistrust remains very high. Iran is demanding "negotiations without threats and pressure," while the Trump administration is seeking a quick and comprehensive agreement. It is reported that regional countries (particularly Arab leaders) lobbied the White House not to cancel the talks, and this pressure has enabled the negotiations to take place.
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