IEA: Gelecek yıl petrol piyasasında arz fazlasının genişleyeceği tahmin ediliyor

Gold Ten data, November 14 news, the International Energy Agency (IEA) predicts that the global oil supply surplus will exceed 1 million barrels per day next year, which will provide the market with much-needed stability. The latest IEA monthly report shows that the expected oil supply surplus next year is 1.15 million barrels per day, the highest level since the agency's first forecast of supply and demand levels for 2025 in April this year, an increase of 40,000 barrels per day from the previous month's estimate. The IEA said, "Due to supply risks everywhere, a looser balance will provide some much-needed stability for the market, which has been disrupted by the COVID-19 pandemic, the Russia-Ukraine conflict, and recent turmoil in the Middle East." If OPEC+ member countries proceed with the production increase plan and start to lift the "voluntary" production cut of 2.2 million barrels per day from January next year within 12 months, the scale of the supply surplus estimated by the IEA may be much higher, but this cannot be guaranteed. The IEA's forecast for oil demand growth in the next two years is still below 1 million barrels per day, and this year's oil demand growth forecast has been revised up by 60,000 barrels per day to 920,000 barrels per day, mainly due to higher-than-expected oil consumption in Europe; at the same time, the forecast for next year has been lowered by 10,000 barrels per day to 990,000 barrels per day.