Gate News reports that on March 10, Polymarket’s latest data shows significant differences in market bets on the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates at different times this year. Among them, the highest probability of a rate cut is in September at 80%; July at 59%; June at 52%; April at 16%; and March at only 1%. Currently, the trading volume on this prediction market has exceeded $1.6 million.
Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to
Disclaimer.
Related Articles
Polymarket Shows 17% Probability Trump Leaves Office Before 2027
Gate News message, April 26 — According to Polymarket, the prediction market on whether Trump will leave the presidency before 2027 currently stands at 17% probability.
This follows recent remarks by President Trump at a White House press dinner, where he described the presidency as "a dangerous jo
GateNews1h ago
Brazil Bans Polymarket, Kalshi in Prediction Market Crackdown
Brazil has enacted a sweeping ban on prediction markets and betting platforms, according to local media and government filings. The Banco Central do Brasil issued a resolution prohibiting the two leading prediction markets, Polymarket and Kalshi, from operating in the country due to non-compliance w
CryptoFrontier3h ago
High-Win-Rate Account Bets $310K on Timberwolves to Beat Nuggets in NBA Western Semifinal Game 4
Gate News message, April 25 — A high-win-rate account (address: 0x9495425feeb0c250accb89275c97587011b19a27) with a 63% success rate purchased $310,000 worth of positions betting on the Timberwolves to defeat the Nuggets in Game 4 of the NBA Western Conference first round on Polymarket, according to
GateNews7h ago
CFTC Sues New York as 38 AGs Back Kalshi Prediction Market Case
On Friday, New York Attorney General Letitia James joined a bipartisan coalition of 37 other attorneys general urging Massachusetts' top court to uphold a preliminary injunction against Kalshi, while the CFTC simultaneously filed a lawsuit against New York to block state enforcement against CFTC-reg
CryptoFrontier7h ago
CFTC Sues New York as 38 AGs Back Kalshi Prediction Market Ban
New York Attorney General Letitia James joined a bipartisan coalition of 37 other attorneys general and the District of Columbia on Friday in urging Massachusetts' top court to uphold a preliminary injunction against prediction market platform Kalshi, while the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commiss
CryptoFrontier10h ago
CFTC sues New York State: Defend the federal exclusive jurisdiction over prediction markets
CFTC4/24 filed a lawsuit against the State of New York in the U.S. Federal Court for the Southern District of New York, arguing that the event contracts are subject to federal exclusive jurisdiction, and seeking a permanent injunction to stop state law from interfering with CFTC-registered entities. The core issue is field preemption; if they win, Polymarket, Kalshi, and others in the U.S. will have compliance and market positioning dominated by the federal framework, and the influence of state law will be weakened.
ChainNewsAbmedia11h ago
