Jin10 data reported on September 12 that the market currently expects a 92% probability that the Fed will slightly lower interest rates by 25 basis points at the upcoming meeting, while the likelihood of a more aggressive 50 basis point cut is only 8%. XS.com senior market analyst Rania Gule stated that although the inflation data has not been particularly surprising, a weakening labor market may provide the Fed with more room. If negative signals persist in the coming weeks, the Fed may lean towards bolder measures. However, Gule added that the Fed's current stance remains highly cautious, and it is more likely to make small adjustments while reserving room for further easing in subsequent meetings.
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Institutions: The market bets on a slight interest rate cut by the Fed next week, maintaining a cautious stance to leave room for further easing.
Jin10 data reported on September 12 that the market currently expects a 92% probability that the Fed will slightly lower interest rates by 25 basis points at the upcoming meeting, while the likelihood of a more aggressive 50 basis point cut is only 8%. XS.com senior market analyst Rania Gule stated that although the inflation data has not been particularly surprising, a weakening labor market may provide the Fed with more room. If negative signals persist in the coming weeks, the Fed may lean towards bolder measures. However, Gule added that the Fed's current stance remains highly cautious, and it is more likely to make small adjustments while reserving room for further easing in subsequent meetings.