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#VOYA #BTC #ETH Bitcoin broke through $88,000, which can be seen from the following aspects:
Market Influencing Factors
- Policy expectations driving: Trump's election is an important factor, and he has expressed his favor for BTC and Cryptocurrency multiple times during his campaign, advocating for relaxed regulation, establishing a national strategic BTC reserve, etc., strengthening investors' Long confidence, attracting a large amount of capital inflow, and driving the price pump.
- Market safe-haven demand: The global economy is currently facing many uncertainties, such as the conflicts between Palestine and Israel, Russia and Ukraine, etc. Bitcoin, as a decentralized asset, is followed by some investors for its safe-haven properties, attracting capital inflows.
- Investment threshold drop: The launch of Bitcoin ETF has lowered the trading threshold, making it easier for more institutions and retail investors to enter the market, increasing market demand, and driving prices rise.
- Macroeconomic situation: The Fed's strong expectations for interest rate cuts, in a low Intrerest Rate environment, funds seek higher returns assets, Bitcoin as a risk asset is favored, driving its price up.
Risks and Challenges
- Regulatory Risk: Although Trump has expressed support, the regulatory environment for BTC is still uncertain, and future changes in regulatory policies may have a significant impact on its price.
- Market Fluctuation risk: The BTC price fluctuation is significant, such as a rise of over $7,500 or 9.5% within 24 hours on November 12, 2024. This intense fluctuation poses a significant risk to investors, potentially resulting in substantial losses in a short period of time.
- Security risks: BTC transactions are exposed to security risks, such as Hacker attacks, exchange closures, etc., which may lead to the theft or loss of investors' BTC, causing irreparable losses.
- Competition Risk: With the development of the Cryptocurrency market, an increasing number of Digital Money are emerging, and BTC is facing competition pressure from other Digital Money. If other Digital Money make significant breakthroughs in technology, application scenarios, etc., it may have an impact on the market share and price of BTC.
Future Outlook
- Continuation of the pump view: Geoff Kendrick, global head of digital asset research at Standard Chartered Bank, and other professionals predict that the price of Bitcoin could reach $125,000 by the end of 2024 and $200,000 by the end of 2025. They believe that factors such as Trump's policies will continue to drive the pump of Bitcoin.
- Uncertainty factor: The future of BTC is filled with uncertainty, and its price action is difficult to predict accurately. Investors should fully understand its risks and characteristics and make investment decisions cautiously based on their risk tolerance and investment objectives.