Is the unlocking trend coming? Are ARB holders "lining up to sell" or just "fake moves"?

This week's market excitement isn't about price increases or decreases, but — unlocking.
A batch of tokens like ARB, YZY, DBR, and others are experiencing large-scale, one-time unlocks, creating a scene like "chips suddenly opening the floodgates."
Many people's first reaction: It's over, the market will crash.
But it's not that simple.
Unlocking ≠ necessarily falling; it’s more like a "potential selling pressure release."
The key points are two:
✔ Who is the unlocking target (institutions or retail investors)
✔ Is the current market sentiment strong or weak
If the market is strong, unlocking might actually be "absorbed";
If the market is weak, it’s indeed easy to turn into a "waterfall switch."
And the current situation is even more delicate —
The weekend rebound is still continuing, and sentiment isn't pessimistic.
This creates a classic structure:
Bad news first, then the market rises.
What is most likely to happen in such a situation?
— First rise, then crash, or rise while unloading.
So the strategy is simple:
✔ Don't panic in advance
✔ Don't blindly chase highs
✔ Focus on observing the trading volume changes on the day of unlocking
In one sentence:
Unlocking is not the result; it’s a "stress test" for market absorption capacity.
#Gate广场四月发帖挑战