We talked for 21 hours, and it was all nonsense! In this US-Iran drama, the world’s oil tankers are just the audience.

Do you think it’s the dawn of peace?

Don’t be naive.

The Strait of Hormuz is still locked.

Just now, US Vice President Vance personally admitted: after 21 hours of talks with Iran, no agreement was reached. Iran chose “not to accept the US conditions.”

Put it in plain language—America’s conditions are so unappealing that Iran doesn’t even want to look at them a second time.

A strait where not a single oil tanker dares to move

Let me paint you a picture—

The Strait of Hormuz: one-third of global maritime oil shipments pass through here.

Now, Iran says lock it up—lock it up.

A few days ago, US Navy destroyers swaggered and tried to go in to carry out “mine clearance” operations. Then Iran issued a warning, and the US ships turned around on the spot.

You read that right.

They turned around.

The world’s number one navy, in a narrow strait, after being warned—then… chose to head back.

This isn’t a movie. These are events that just happened before April 12, 2026.

Do you think it was almost settled? All just an illusion.

Now, the even more surreal part is coming.

An Italian “Republic” reporter sent a report at 1:57 a.m., saying: the US and Iran delegations were in the same room and talked for nearly 10 hours. Regional security, humanitarian reconstruction, thawing assets—three major frameworks are “basically confirmed.”

Sounds like there’s something there?

Wait.

Foreign media also said, “Only the Hormuz control remains unresolved.”

Just that one word—“only”—makes the bosses of shipping companies around the world break out in cold sweat.

Because everyone knows: whoever controls the Strait of Hormuz has their hand on the throat of the global economy.

Iran’s position is very clear: until the framework is reached, the strait stays locked.

And while the US is negotiating, it’s also doing mine clearance in the strait. Guess what Iran thinks?

“You’re shaking hands with me while secretly clearing the mines I buried? Do you think I’ll believe you?”

No matter how well things go at the negotiating table—if there aren’t any ships that dare to sail through the strait, it’s all just talk.

The US says, “Iranian forces have been completely destroyed”—then why are US warships still turning around?

If something can’t be worked out in 21 hours, it won’t be worked out in 22 hours either.

The Strait of Hormuz isn’t just a strait—it’s Iran’s last ACE that it has not yet been used.

With the ceasefire window, time is running out

Three rounds of talks—through the night—four more rounds continuing on Sunday.

Sounds like a lot of effort?

But you have to look at the essence—

Iran says this is “the last chance.”

The US says “Iran does not accept the conditions.”

Put these two statements together, and you get a deadlock.

What Iran wants: the thawing of assets, rights related to uranium enrichment, and control of the strait.

What the US offers: open the strait first, then we’ll talk about other issues.

This is the classic deadlock of which comes first—the chicken or the egg.

The problem is, the “egg” can be delayed, but the world’s oil tankers can’t wait.

- If you’re in shipping: each day your ship is stopped, you’re burning real money.

- If you’re in crude oil trading: the price could surge or crash in the next second—you can’t take it.

- If you’re just a regular bystander: when oil prices rise and prices rise, every curse you mutter when you fuel up traces back to this strait.

So don’t think this has nothing to do with you.

If the Strait of Hormuz is locked for a day, the money in your wallet gets thinner.

Don’t believe the nonsense about “the framework is set”

Foreign media says the “three major frameworks are set.”

Let me ask you: if the framework is set, what good does that do?

The renovation contract is signed, and even the color of the last wall can turn into an argument for three months.

Especially since this is the US and Iran.

Two countries that have hated each other for decades—are you telling me it’s “only one last question” away?

The “last question” is often the only question.

This time, Iran was so tough that many people didn’t expect it.

To be honest, many thought Iran would be crushed.

So what happened?

US warships turned back. No retreat at the negotiating table. The strait is locked—lock it up.

Trump said, “28 mine-laying ships have sunk to the bottom of the sea”—then why not let a single oil tanker pass safely and try?

Iran’s position is one sentence: if you don’t give me what I want, don’t expect to get what you want.

Is this kind of negotiation style—“if I can’t have a good time, neither can you”—ruthless? Ruthless.

But is it effective or not?

At least for now, the US still has to negotiate.

The fourth round of talks will continue. The latest update is that the time is not confirmed—but I advise you not to hold your hopes.

When both sides think they can still endure, negotiations won’t reach a result.

Iran thinks: I’m locking the strait—you can’t do anything to me.

The US thinks: I can keep dragging out the talks; your economy will fail before mine does.

Who’s right?

Who’s wrong?

It doesn’t matter.

What matters is: before a single oil tanker dares to move in Hormuz, all negotiations are just a performance.

1. Who do you think will be the first to back down—US or Iran?

2. How much will oil prices break this week? Guess a number and verify later.

3. If the strait keeps being locked for another month, what will be the first thing you think of? #美伊停火协议谈判再生变故 #Gate广场四月发帖挑战 $BTC $ETH