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Gm legends 🧘♂️
Today is one of those days most people will talk about but few will actually understand
$14B in BTC options expiring
CME futures settling and price sitting below where the market “wants” it
This is where things get interesting
most people think expiry is instant volatility but it’s not always
Sometimes it’s quieter than expected
because the real game is positioning
Right now put/call ratio isn’t screaming panic, IV already cooled off and institutions aren’t scrambling
This isn’t chaos rather, this is controlled
But here’s the part that matters
Max pain sits around $75K but price is still hovering near $69K
That gap there? that’s where dealer hedging comes in
Not manipulation and not magic either
Just pure mechanics
As market makers adjust exposure
price can get “pulled” toward liquidity zones
Sometimes it pins while sometimes it squeezes but here’s the truth most miss
Expiry isn’t the move, it’s the setup because once this $14B overhang clears
the market resets
Clean positioning
Less noise
More freedom
And that’s when real direction shows itself so instead of chasing the candle today ask yourself
Where does price want to go, when the pressure is gone