3/27 Huatuo Today's Strategy

BTC: 69,400-69,800 Range

TP1: 68,400

TP2: 67,000

From the current market structure, Trump has once again pushed "expectation management" to the extreme. He released a sudden message early this morning, delaying the potential strike on Iran by another 10 days. Essentially, this is an active intervention in market sentiment and pricing rhythm.

But one thing must be clear: no matter what statements are made to suppress futures or short-term risk asset prices, they cannot change the underlying supply and demand logic. Energy market pricing remains more forward-looking, and the trend in oil prices has already, to some extent, reflected that current geopolitical risks have not substantially eased. This also means that the crypto market lacks the macro conditions for a sustained upward trend in the short term.

Undeniably, as the President of the United States, Trump does have a phased influence on market pricing. But the problem is that his statements are more about guiding the market rather than confirming outcomes. In this environment of information asymmetry, our trading can only initially bet based on his speeches, then continuously verify their authenticity later.

This is also why most people are driven by the rhythm in the market—it's not a matter of wrong judgment, but participation in a liquidity flow driven by expectations and constantly reversing.