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Attention: The CPI data will be released tonight at 20:30. The intense volatility is about to return. Just now, the bulls and bears are quite tense, so it's time for a fierce scramble!
Maybe the fluctuation range won't be that large, but the need for bulls and bears to show their muscles is definitely there!
Looking at the CPI trend over the past year, the first half of 2025 shows a completely asymmetric pattern with sharp rises and falls. Influenced by factors like government shutdowns, the second half of 2025 shows a continuous decline, indicating that inflation is being effectively contained. This is also one of the reasons for the interest rate cuts in the second half of 2025.
The expected CPI data tonight is 0.3%, which is 0.1% higher than the previous value.
Coupled with recent oil price surges,
a slightly higher expectation is entirely acceptable.
Therefore, the market will likely face some suppression.
Based on the current trend and CPI,
there are signs that short-term bears are gaining strength.
Today’s long entry points are a bit more cautious than last night.
Currently, the 1-hour critical point between bulls and bears is testing from bullish to bearish.
The 5-minute and 15-minute rebound signals suggest a need to look for short opportunities.
This indicates a very short-term downward demand, and rebounds could be opportunities to short.
Watch whether the momentum can push the 1-hour chart into a bearish trend. If the downward force is strong, then the 4-hour/2-hour/1-hour charts may face a correction phase, and the market in the second half of the week could be quite cautious.