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$TAO keeps holding below the key level, continuation remains the base case.
A breakdown opens the door for another -18% toward the $144 liquidity pocket.
Reversal only becomes valid if bulls reclaim that level with strength.
ADX at 33.62 (>25) confirms strong directional momentum trend is active, not ranging.
Derivatives show mixed sentiment:
• $170.8 downside liquidity
• $181.3 upside liquidity
• $2.65M shorts vs $1.89M longs → slight bearish bias
But spot tells a different story.
90D Spot Taker CVD shows consistent buyer absorption despite chop between $170–$195.
Leverage leaning short.
Spot quietly accumulating.
Classic mixed setup. Liquidity will decide the next expansion