Recently, SOL's price has experienced a dramatic rollercoaster—plummeting to a low of $67.3 at the beginning of the year and then strongly rebounding to $91.2, with a monthly increase of over 35%. This V-shaped reversal is not accidental but the result of multiple factors including technical indicator recovery, institutional capital support, and on-chain ecosystem resilience. In today's rally, SOL has also taken the lead, soaring by 3.5%. So why is SOL standing out? Let the little财神带你来看一看 tell you:
1. Technical Indicators: Oversold Recovery and Structural Reversal
- Key Support Level Test: SOL formed strong support around $67.3, a zone that resonates with previous highs. Analysts point out that after gaining buying support in this area, the price quickly broke through the $70 resistance, forming a "double bottom" pattern, indicating short-term upward momentum. - Momentum Indicator Reversal: Daily charts show that SOL's RSI quickly rebounded from oversold territory (below 30) to around 55, signaling waning selling pressure and increasing buying strength. Combining Fibonacci levels, the $85 region becomes the first target for the rebound, followed by a breakthrough of the $90 resistance. - Short-term Structural Improvement: The 4-hour chart indicates that SOL's price has stabilized above $80, forming an upward channel. If it can hold the support zone at $78-$80, the price may continue to rebound.
2. Institutional Funds: ETF Inflows and Collateral Support
- ETF Capital Continues to Accumulate: Recently, Solana ETFs have shown net capital inflows, with institutional investors like Galaxy Digital increasing their holdings, directly pushing the price above $85. The optimistic sentiment around ETFs provides long-term demand support for SOL. - Staking Ecosystem Expansion: The top three validators (Helius, Xiao An, Galaxy) control over 26% of staked shares. Large capital deepens its network binding through staking, forming a "top-heavy concentration + long-tail dispersion" capital pattern. This structure boosts market confidence and offers long-term support for the price. - Institutional Hedging Strategies: Some institutions have gradually built positions after SOL's sharp decline, leveraging its undervaluation to further stabilize market sentiment.
3. On-Chain Activity: Ecosystem Resilience and Adoption Rate Increase
- Growth in DeFi and NFTs: Solana's total value locked (TVL) in DeFi remains above $10 billion, with on-chain transaction volume reaching 2.9 billion transactions per month. Applications like Pump.fun and JitoSOL continue to create value, keeping ecosystem activity high. - Enterprise-Level Applications Landing: Solana continues to attract infrastructure companies and enterprise payment pilot projects, with network adoption steadily increasing. On-chain data shows that real-world asset adoption is accelerating, laying a foundation for SOL's long-term value. - Developer Ecosystem Activity: The monthly increase in new contracts and developer tool usage has grown significantly, reflecting ongoing innovation momentum within the ecosystem.
4. The Uniqueness of the Sharp Rebound: Market Sentiment and Technical Recovery
- Emotion-Driven Oversold Conditions: SOL's plunge was driven by excessive market concerns over technical risks, but on-chain data did not show substantial deterioration. This "emotional bottom" provided space for a rebound. - Expectations of Technical Upgrades: The Firedancer upgrade is expected to increase throughput to millions of TPS, directly benefiting network efficiency. Breakthroughs in technology serve as a short-term catalyst for SOL's rise. - Battle Between Institutions and Retail Investors: Institutional funds gradually entered after the crash, while retail investors took profits quickly during the rebound, causing short-term volatility. However, the support from institutions ultimately dominates the market direction.
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Recently, SOL's price has experienced a dramatic rollercoaster—plummeting to a low of $67.3 at the beginning of the year and then strongly rebounding to $91.2, with a monthly increase of over 35%. This V-shaped reversal is not accidental but the result of multiple factors including technical indicator recovery, institutional capital support, and on-chain ecosystem resilience. In today's rally, SOL has also taken the lead, soaring by 3.5%. So why is SOL standing out? Let the little财神带你来看一看 tell you:
1. Technical Indicators: Oversold Recovery and Structural Reversal
- Key Support Level Test: SOL formed strong support around $67.3, a zone that resonates with previous highs. Analysts point out that after gaining buying support in this area, the price quickly broke through the $70 resistance, forming a "double bottom" pattern, indicating short-term upward momentum.
- Momentum Indicator Reversal: Daily charts show that SOL's RSI quickly rebounded from oversold territory (below 30) to around 55, signaling waning selling pressure and increasing buying strength. Combining Fibonacci levels, the $85 region becomes the first target for the rebound, followed by a breakthrough of the $90 resistance.
- Short-term Structural Improvement: The 4-hour chart indicates that SOL's price has stabilized above $80, forming an upward channel. If it can hold the support zone at $78-$80, the price may continue to rebound.
2. Institutional Funds: ETF Inflows and Collateral Support
- ETF Capital Continues to Accumulate: Recently, Solana ETFs have shown net capital inflows, with institutional investors like Galaxy Digital increasing their holdings, directly pushing the price above $85. The optimistic sentiment around ETFs provides long-term demand support for SOL.
- Staking Ecosystem Expansion: The top three validators (Helius, Xiao An, Galaxy) control over 26% of staked shares. Large capital deepens its network binding through staking, forming a "top-heavy concentration + long-tail dispersion" capital pattern. This structure boosts market confidence and offers long-term support for the price.
- Institutional Hedging Strategies: Some institutions have gradually built positions after SOL's sharp decline, leveraging its undervaluation to further stabilize market sentiment.
3. On-Chain Activity: Ecosystem Resilience and Adoption Rate Increase
- Growth in DeFi and NFTs: Solana's total value locked (TVL) in DeFi remains above $10 billion, with on-chain transaction volume reaching 2.9 billion transactions per month. Applications like Pump.fun and JitoSOL continue to create value, keeping ecosystem activity high.
- Enterprise-Level Applications Landing: Solana continues to attract infrastructure companies and enterprise payment pilot projects, with network adoption steadily increasing. On-chain data shows that real-world asset adoption is accelerating, laying a foundation for SOL's long-term value.
- Developer Ecosystem Activity: The monthly increase in new contracts and developer tool usage has grown significantly, reflecting ongoing innovation momentum within the ecosystem.
4. The Uniqueness of the Sharp Rebound: Market Sentiment and Technical Recovery
- Emotion-Driven Oversold Conditions: SOL's plunge was driven by excessive market concerns over technical risks, but on-chain data did not show substantial deterioration. This "emotional bottom" provided space for a rebound.
- Expectations of Technical Upgrades: The Firedancer upgrade is expected to increase throughput to millions of TPS, directly benefiting network efficiency. Breakthroughs in technology serve as a short-term catalyst for SOL's rise.
- Battle Between Institutions and Retail Investors: Institutional funds gradually entered after the crash, while retail investors took profits quickly during the rebound, causing short-term volatility. However, the support from institutions ultimately dominates the market direction.