February 19, 2026

On January 14th, it was indicated that the rebound had ended at 97,900, and then BTC dropped to 60,000; on the evening of February 5th, it was suggested that a new low would start a rebound, and then BTC rebounded from 60,000 to 72,200. How does it look now? Has the rebound ended?

Look at the BTC daily chart. The black line indicates the decline from 97,900 to 60,000. The rise from 60,000 is a rebound against the black line's decline. After the rebound ends, BTC will continue to fall, and 60,000 is unlikely to form a bottom.

There are two possible scenarios for the ongoing BTC rebound:

Blue: The adjustment starting from 72,200 will be completed by Gann time at most by February 24th, followed by a period of rise at the same level as 60,000 to 72,200, creating a high point above 72,200 to complete the entire rebound. After the rebound ends, BTC will fall to mid to late March.

Red: The rebound from 72,200 to 60,000 is a weak rebound, as shown in the red zone on the chart. It absorbs the rebound momentum through sideways consolidation. After February 24th, this sideways consolidation will end, and BTC will fall to mid to late March.

If BTC does not show strong performance before February 24th according to Gann timing, the likelihood of following the red route increases. Because if the decline from 72,200 is viewed as an adjustment, its duration has already been too long. February 24th is the limit. To rule out the red route, the adjustment must end before then, and a new high above 72,200 must be created this month.