【$TON Signal】1H level pullback confirmation, market imbalance, ambush rebound!

$TON The 1H level is weakly oscillating below EMA20 (1.4172), but the current price has already touched the intraday strong support zone at 1.4066. The 4H level is below EMA50 (1.4222), indicating an overall bearish trend, but the 1H RSI (40.32) has entered oversold territory, and the market buy depth (31.94% imbalance) is far stronger than the sell side, showing that the main force is defending at key price levels. With a negative interest rate (-0.0133%), there has been no panic selling, and a short-term rebound from short covering is possible.

🎯Direction: Long (Long)

🎯Entry/Order: 1.4065 - 1.4080 (Reason: Dense buy orders in the market, potential double bottom structure on 1H )

🛑Stop loss: 1.4000 (Reason: Breaking below the intraday low of 1.4010 and the round number, invalidating the bullish defense )

🚀Target 1: 1.4200 (Reason: Resistance at EMA20 on 1H and previous small platform )

🚀Target 2: 1.4280 (Reason: Strong resistance at EMA20 on 4H )

🛡️Trade management:

- Position suggestion: Light position (Reason: 4H trend has not fully turned bullish, belongs to contrarian rebound play )

- Execution strategy: After reaching Target 1, reduce position by 50% and move stop loss to entry price. Hold remaining position for Target 2. If the price consolidates in the entry zone for more than 2 hours without improvement, exit proactively.

Depth logic: Open interest (OI) remains stable, price declines but does not trigger large-scale long liquidation, which is a positive signal. The buy depth on 1H (bid_ask_ratio_depth=1.94) shows very strong support below, with sparse sell orders, so slight buying can quickly push the price higher. Coupled with negative funding rates, short positions have high holding costs, making this a typical short squeeze scenario.

View real-time market 👇 $TON

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