IMF maintains China's 2026 economic growth forecast at 4.5% unchanged

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Investing.com – The International Monetary Fund (IMF) maintained its forecast for China’s economic growth in 2026 at 4.5% in its 2025 China Economic Outlook report released on Wednesday.

Despite keeping this forecast unchanged, the IMF emphasized the potential risks facing the world’s second-largest economy, highlighting weak domestic demand and a slowdown in the global economy as primary concerns.

At a press conference held in Beijing last December, IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva revealed that she had encouraged Chinese policymakers to make what she called “brave choices” to accelerate structural reforms.

She also stressed that China needs to reduce its dependence on exports, which account for its $19 trillion economy.

Georgieva’s comments were made at the conclusion of discussions between the IMF and the Chinese government regarding the 2025 report, which forms the basis of the current economic assessment.

This article was translated with the assistance of artificial intelligence. For more information, please see our Terms of Use.

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