Markets don't react to news… they react to the risk profile.

With escalating geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran, markets didn't wait for official data or statements. They moved immediately according to their fundamental logic: risk repricing.

In just one session:

• Gold rose 1.6%
• Silver rose 4.3%
• Oil climbed 2.66%
• Bitcoin fell 1%

These movements don't reflect short-term speculation, but rather a rapid shift of capital from risk-sensitive assets to those historically used as safe havens.

Gold and silver aren't rising because the economy is strong, but because uncertainty is widening.

Oil isn't rising solely due to demand, but because the market is beginning to price in supply risks. And cryptocurrencies, despite the “hedging” rhetoric, are still treated as high-risk assets at the first real geopolitical test.

More important than the numbers is the message: Markets sense that the level of geopolitical risk has entered a new phase, even if it hasn't yet made headlines.

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