$TRX Signal】Bull-Bear Battle, Waiting for 1H Level Direction Choice



$TRX The 4H level is in a narrow fluctuation zone between the key moving averages EMA20(0.2805) and EMA50(0.2800), with no clear direction on the 1H level. The price is consolidating with decreasing volume between 0.2795-0.2810. Open interest remains stable, with a slight negative funding rate. Market logic indicates a potential price decline, but must be judged in conjunction with position volume. Currently, buy-side depth far exceeds sell-side (depth imbalance of 9.78%), with massive buy orders accumulated near 0.2798, indicating main force protection. This is a typical pre-reversal accumulation structure, waiting for a volume breakout on the 1H level.

🎯 Direction: Watch and wait ( Pending orders )

⚡ Pending order strategy:

- Bullish breakout: If the price stabilizes above 0.2812, go long (Reason: Breaks through 4H EMA20 and recent oscillation upper boundary, confirming bullish return).

- Bearish breakout: If the price effectively falls below 0.2795, go short (Reason: Breaks key buy support zone and EMA50, indicating bearish momentum release).

🎯 Entry / Pending orders:

- Long order: 0.2813 ( Reason: Breakout confirmation level )

- Short order: 0.2794 ( Reason: Breakdown confirmation level )

🛑 Stop-loss:

- Long position stop-loss: 0.2798 ( Reason: Break below breakout start point and EMA50 support )

- Short position stop-loss: 0.2815 ( Reason: Break above previous high, bearish structure invalidated )

🚀 Target 1:

- Long target: 0.2835 ( Reason: Previous high resistance zone )

- Short target: 0.2770 ( Reason: Previous low support zone )

🚀 Target 2:

- Long target: 0.2850 ( Reason: 1.618 Fibonacci extension level )

- Short target: 0.2750 ( Reason: 4H level previous low area )

🛡️ Trading management:

- Position suggestion: Light position ( Reason: Direction is unclear, it’s a breakout battle with higher risk )

- Execution strategy: Once any side’s pending order is triggered, if the price quickly moves favorably, move the stop-loss to the entry price to break even after reaching Target 1. If the price hovers near the entry point for more than 2 one-hour candles without leaving the cost zone, consider closing half to reduce risk.

Depth logic: The current market is at a critical point of balance between bulls and bears. The 4H EMA20 and EMA50 are nearly fused, compressing the price into an extremely narrow range. The key signal lies in the volume breakout on the 1H level. The order book data is the biggest highlight, with buy-side depth unusually thick, especially near 0.2798 with over 110,000 buy orders, forming a strong “invisible support wall.” Under a negative funding rate environment, open interest remains stable, indicating that bears have not significantly increased their positions, more like bulls actively accumulating. Strategically, we do not predict but follow the trend. A breakout above 0.2812 will confirm buy-side depth turning into upward momentum; a breakdown below 0.2795 indicates failed protection and will trigger bull stop-loss orders.

Trade here 👇 $TRX

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