Look at the weekly Bitcoin $BTC chart.

One level has defined every cycle: the 200-week Moving Average.
2020 → wicked below → historic bull run
2022–23 → based around it → expansion to six figures
Now → price revisiting the same zone again
This line isn’t magic — it’s the long-term cost basis of the market.
Above it = optimism.
At/below it = fear, exhaustion, opportunity.
Most traders chase breakouts and sell panic.
Historically, the simple edge was:
• wait near/under 200W MA
• accumulate slowly
• avoid leverage
• hold patiently
Not calling the bottom — just playing probabilities.
In crypto, discipline beats prediction.