【$DOT Signal】Hold cash and wait — Rebound encounters resistance, volume divergence

$DOT After rebounding on the 4-hour timeframe, it faces strong resistance below EMA20 (1.2845), with declining volume and weak buying pressure.

🎯 Direction: Hold cash

Market analysis: Price quickly fell back after rebounding to 1.28. The latest 4-hour candlestick shows a buy/sell ratio of only 0.43, indicating exhausted buying. Depth imbalance is 8.48% bullish, but the price cannot break through, suggesting heavy selling pressure above.

Logical core: This is a typical weak rebound. Key data resonance: 1) Funding rate at -0.0166% is negative, but open interest remains stable, indicating no short squeeze structure; 2) RSI at 43.89 remains in the weak zone, without effective bullish divergence; 3) Price is suppressed by both EMA20 and EMA50 (1.3589), with the daily trend still in a downtrend channel.

Currently, there are no clear signals meeting 'long conditions' (not above EMA20, no healthy retracement structure), nor 'short conditions' with triple resonance (funding rate not extremely high). Risk control core: insufficient win rate, the best strategy is to hold cash and wait for the price to make a clear direction at 1.26 (previous low support) or 1.30 (key resistance).

Trade here 👇 $DOT

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