February 4, 2026 11:30 (UTC+8), ETH is currently trading at $2265, after dipping to a 24-hour low of $2103 and then weakly recovering. The decline is approximately 1.8%. The bearish dominance remains unchanged, and the rebound momentum is insufficient.



📊 Key Levels and Indicator Overview

- Resistance: $2300-2320 (strong resistance), $2380-2400; Support: $2200 (strong support), $2103, $2080.
- Moving Averages: 50/200-day moving averages are in a bearish alignment, with the price far below the averages, indicating strong bearish pressure.
- RSI(14): 28-30, extremely oversold, weak rebound signals no reversal.
- MACD( Daily): Bearish crossover downward, bearish momentum not reduced, histogram not clearly converging.
- Volume: Increasing volume during decline, decreasing volume during rebound, insufficient buying pressure, selling pressure continues.
- Pattern: 4-hour Bollinger Bands opening downward, price moving along the lower band, clear bearish channel.

⚙️ Trading Strategies (by type)#

- Contracts (Aggressive): Short at $2300-2320, stop loss at $2350, target $2220-2200, break below targets $2150-2103, position size ≤2%.
- Spot (Conservative): Mainly observe, add small positions in batches: around $2200 at 1-2%; if $2103 stabilizes, add another 1-2%, total position ≤3%, stop loss below $2050.
- Mid-term (Positioning): If $2080 breaks effectively, medium-term target $2000-1900, wait for weekly volume contraction to confirm bottoming, RSI divergence before re-entering.

⚠️ Risk Management Points

- Contracts: Strictly prohibit high leverage, use small positions + strict stop losses to prevent liquidation from extreme volatility.
- Liquidity: Rebound with decreasing volume, beware of sharp pullbacks, control slippage risk.
- Correlation: Closely monitor BTC, US stocks, and regulatory news; macro volatility may intensify oscillations.
#加密市场隔夜V型震荡 $ETH
ETH-1,73%
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