February 4, 2026 11:30 (UTC+8), SOL is currently trading at $98.2, with a 24-hour low of $96.6, down approximately 5.8%. The market remains dominated by bears, with continued decline, oversold weak correction, and insufficient rebound momentum.

📊 Key Levels and Indicator Overview

- Resistance: $100-101/103 (strong resistance at $103); Support: $96.5/95/93 (strong support at $93).
- Moving Averages: 50/200-day moving averages are in a bearish alignment, with the price below the 20-day moving average, indicating strong bearish pressure.
- RSI(14): 24-26, extremely oversold, weak rebound not indicating a reversal.
- MACD( Daily): Bearish crossover persists, strong bearish momentum, histogram not yet converging.
- Volume: Increasing volume during decline, decreasing volume during rebound, insufficient buying pressure, continued selling pressure.
- Pattern: 4-hour Bollinger Bands opening downward, price moving along the lower band, clear bearish channel.

⚙️ Trading Strategies (by type)

- Contract Strategy (Aggressive): Short at $100-101 on rebound, stop-loss at $103.5, target $97-96.5, break below targets $95-93, position size ≤2%.
- Spot Strategy (Conservative): Mainly observe, add small positions in batches: around $96.5 (1-2%); add another 1-2% if $95 stabilizes, total position ≤3%, stop-loss below $92.
- Mid-term Strategy (Positioning): If $93 is effectively broken, medium-term target $90-88, wait for weekly volume to decrease and RSI divergence to re-enter position.

⚠️ Risk Management Points

- Contracts: Strictly prohibit high leverage, use small positions + strict stop-loss to prevent liquidation from extreme volatility.
- Liquidity: Rebound with decreasing volume, beware of sharp pullbacks, control slippage risk.
- Correlation: Closely monitor BTC, US stocks, and macroeconomic volatility; news may intensify turbulence.
#加密市场隔夜V型震荡 $SOL