The battle plan is becoming clear: here's why BTC may fall

The situation in the Middle East is rapidly escalating. The White House is clearly preparing to strike Iran, and recent military movements confirm this. The intentions of the US armed forces are evident through the analysis of current troop relocations in the region.

Yesterday, it was reported that F-15E fighters were deployed not in Qatar, where they had been months ago, but in Oman. This change of location sends a specific message: the Pentagon is preparing not just to defend its own facilities but also to actively cover Israeli territory from drone and cruise missile attacks.

The relocation reveals the scale of upcoming operations

The transfer of fighters from Qatar to Oman is not just a logistical move. It is a strategic signal about the nature of the planned actions. This move by the Pentagon indicates active Israeli involvement in upcoming combat operations. Confirming this, three new F-35I fighters were delivered to Tel Aviv yesterday.

However, twelve F-15E fighters are relatively modest forces for a large-scale operation. For comparison: during military actions in June 2025, when the US conducted bombings of Iranian nuclear facilities, the Pentagon deployed three full squadrons. At that time, aircraft were transferred to the Middle East from both the UK and US territory.

What Washington is counting on: a quick strike instead of a prolonged conflict

The current deployment of military assets points to a completely different strategy. It seems the US administration is counting on a lighter and less prolonged “response” from Iran. This becomes clear when comparing the current military grouping with previous deployments.

The reduced size of the aviation group indicates that a major war is not being prepared. Instead, Washington appears to be preparing a quick military shock—a short-term but intense operation.

Geopolitical shock and risks for cryptocurrencies

This very uncertainty could trigger panic movements in financial markets. When investors face an unexpected geopolitical event—even if it is short-lived—they often resort to rapid asset sell-offs, including digital currencies.

BTC becomes the primary candidate for speculative sales during market panic. A short but sharp conflict can cause sharp price fluctuations and provoke a dump precisely through the mechanism of uncertainty and investor fear of the unknown outcome.