The market has fallen: influencer's broken record or pure geometry of imbalance?

In recent broadcasts, I constantly warned about the impending crash. And here it is — but not as a panicked flash crash on October 10–11, but as a logical and reasonable correction. The market has once again proven one thing: it does not listen to news. It moves according to its own laws. And today, it is important to understand how this machine works from the inside, otherwise you are just fuel for those who understand it.

Problem areas and the inevitability of moving down

The first thing to realize: the market is a system that strives for balance. For a long time, imbalance zones accumulated, creating tension. Long traders dominated for weeks; a tilt to one side always ends the same way — with a correction. This is not accidental and not due to news. It is the mathematics of supply and demand, which nothing can cancel out.

Influencers have once again started their familiar spiel about Fed injections, about “money flowing like a river,” and other informational noise. But the market listens to cycles, not the voices of propagandists. The spiel about incentives works as long as the majority believes in it. Then comes a moment when this spiel fails, and the market adjusts its expectations.

Liquidity and the confidence trap

The second driving factor is liquidity. When positions are overloaded, even a small outflow of funds leads to cascading reversals. Those who were too confident in their position find themselves in a trap. This is not a market attack — it is its normal cleansing. The market falls not because of bad news. It falls when the majority is confident there is nowhere to fall.

This is the point where real trouble begins. The market divides people into two categories: those who understand its logic, and those who become fertilizer for the knowledgeable. The third option in the crypto ecosystem simply does not exist.

Knowledge versus ignorance: where does your harvest grow?

Learning in the cryptocurrency sphere is not trendy, not quick, and not easy. Finding quality education is a separate challenge. But that is where the whole difference lies. Without understanding the mechanics of the market, you do not harvest — you become raw material for people who are colder and more experienced.

Knowledge is the light illuminating the path in the darkness of the market. Lack of knowledge is when you wake up in darkness and go to work again because the market has taken your capital. And this lesson the market teaches over and over again, to everyone who does not listen.