Expected Sharp Volatility in 2026: Bitcoin Still Positioned to Break Records

Expert market analysts in cryptocurrency anticipate a mixed outlook for 2026. While global markets may face a sharp correction in the first half of the year, digital assets like Bitcoin still hold the potential to reach unprecedented all-time highs, with the currency already touching $126.08K.

Sharp Correction Scenario: Risk Factors in 2026

Professionals with notable experience in financial analysis project that 2026 could bring significant pressures on stock markets. Indicators point to increasing geopolitical tensions, tariff uncertainties, and political divisions as potential triggers for a sharp decline in U.S. stock indices, with estimates considering setbacks of 15% to 20%.

These pressures would not only affect traditional stocks. The cryptocurrency market would also face short-term volatility, albeit with different dynamics. The deleveraging event of last October left scars on investor confidence but would represent an important psychological inflection point that the market would need to overcome.

Bitcoin Heading Toward New Highs: ATH on the Horizon

Despite the risks of a sharp correction that could shake markets in 2026, experts remain confident in Bitcoin’s ability to reach new all-time highs during the year. The confirmation of a new ATH would serve as a psychological catalyst, sealing the structural recovery of digital assets after the period of volatility.

Bitcoin is already positioned strongly, having reached $126.08K, reflecting the resilience of the crypto market even amid macroeconomic uncertainty. Breaking previous highs would not only indicate a price recovery but also the restoration of institutional and retail confidence in the ecosystem.

Change in Monetary Policy: Catalyst for Recovery

The key to reversing the sharp correction scenario would lie in a shift in the Federal Reserve’s stance. An eventual transition toward more expansionary policies, ending quantitative tightening, would transform the macroeconomic context during the second half of 2026. Under these assumptions, markets would experience a substantial rebound before the year’s end.

Asset Allocation for 2026: Strategic Diversification

In the context of anticipated uncertainty, experts recommend considering energy, basic materials, and gold as high-quality pillars for investment portfolios. These traditional assets would provide protection against sharp price volatility in more speculative segments.

Simultaneously, sectors such as artificial intelligence and blockchain would continue capturing long-term value. Although short-term volatility persists, underlying structural trends would continue to drive growth in these technological areas, complementing balanced diversification strategies.