BTC Moving Average Signals 60-Day Accumulation - Is a Breakout $107K Coming Soon?

Currently, BTC is at day 58 in a 60-day accumulation cycle around the $80,000 price zone. The 30-day and 90-day moving averages have just generated a bullish crossover—a signal closely watched by market analysts. According to Digital Asset Research, these movements suggest that a turning point may be ahead.

BTC price is currently at $83.44K (down 4.37% in the past 24 hours), but technical signals are painting a complex picture of what might happen next.

The Nature of the 30/90-Day Moving Averages Indicating a Trend Change

For the first time since May last year, the 30-day moving average has crossed above the 90-day moving average. Historically, such crossovers often precede significant upward rallies. This is not an uncommon pattern—60-day accumulation cycles have repeatedly served as a springboard for price jumps.

Digital Asset Research confirms that “the spring is releasing”—implying that buying pressure has been building over time and is ready to be unleashed. Trader Bob Loukas forecasts a target of $107,000 if market conditions remain favorable. Only 48 hours remain before this cycle concludes.

Nearing the End of the 60-Day Accumulation—Breakout or Pullback?

Two scenarios are under consideration. The bullish scenario requires BTC to reclaim the $93.4K level to confirm momentum toward $107K. However, a second scenario—a pullback to $86.2K—is also plausible. The leveraged long orders at levels between $86.2K and $89.1K create a potential weak point. A liquidity sweep through these levels could trigger stop-loss orders and delay the upward momentum.

Glassnode warns that market confidence is currently average—not strong enough to rule out a risk correction.

Macro Risks for Traders

Unlike last year when the accumulation cycle ended after trade agreements, the current environment is shifting. EU/Greenland trade tensions are escalating just as this timeframe enters a critical phase. Without political solutions in the coming days, upward momentum could be delayed or even reversed.

The current market nature is characterized by a contradiction between technical signals (positive indications from the moving averages) and macro factors (uncertain). It’s a waiting game.

Take-Profit Positioning—Between Technical Optimism and Macro Caution

You are at day 58 of 60. The nature of the moving averages suggests a potential breakout. But macro risks cannot be ignored. Traders need to position clearly: are you willing to hold through a pullback to $86K while waiting for a breakout to $107K, or will you protect profits and look for a better entry point?

Analysis data from sources like Glassnode and Digital Asset Research are for reference only. Always adhere to your personal risk management before making any trading decisions.