In the event of a systemic collapse, where would the bottom be?

First, let's clarify what a systemic collapse is—it’s not a pin drop or a daily candle crash. The true “collapse” refers to the weekly closing prices consecutively breaking below key long-term support; rebounds with no volume or continuation; macro risk resonance (the dollar / US bonds / risk assets all deteriorate together)—only under this premise can we talk about the “bottom.”

Levels of bottoms for various cryptocurrencies

1. BTC

🟡 Level One: 78,000 – 80,000

Previous weekly support zone

Large institutional and mid-term cost basis area

The first line of defense most likely to see a strong rebound

📌 If BTC is just “panic selling,” 80k could very well be the stage bottom

🟠 Level Two: 68,000 – 72,000 (Very critical)

Last major cycle breakout zone

Psychologically significant (“bull-bear dividing line”)

Historically often a: trend confirmation point, re-entry zone for big funds

👉 Most “deep corrections” will stop here

🔴 Level Three: 58,000 – 62,000

Extreme panic zone

Close to the core cost basis of the last cycle

Must meet conditions: macroeconomic deterioration persists, risk assets are broadly declining, leverage is repeatedly wiped out

📌 This is not a regular bottom but a “market confidence shake” level bottom

⚫ Extreme scenario: 45,000 – 50,000

Only valid under the following conditions: global systemic financial risk, regulatory heavy-handed events, similar to the shocks of 2020-2022.

👉 Very low probability, but not impossible

2. ETH

🟡 Level One: 2,600 – 2,700

Intensive trading zone on daily / weekly charts

Last “trend defense” for bulls

If it’s just market panic, it’s easy to find a bottom here with a rebound

📌 Most “non-systemic risk” drops, ETH will struggle here initially

🟠 Level Two: 2,200 – 2,300 (Very critical)

Last major cycle rally zone

Weekly level bull-bear dividing line

👉 If it holds here, ETH remains in “deep correction, not a bear market”

This is the most realistic and common deep bottom zone

🔴 Level Three: 1,800 – 1,900

Psychological and structural stronghold

Close to the core cost basis of the last major cycle

Must meet conditions: BTC drops near 60k, macro deterioration is obvious, leverage is repeatedly wiped out

📌 This is the “faith test zone”

⚫ Extreme scenario: 1,300 – 1,500

Only valid under the following conditions:

Global systemic financial risk

Major structural negative news in the crypto industry

Impacts similar to 2020 / 2022 shocks

👉 Very low probability, considered an accident level

3. SOL

🟡 Level One: 88 – 92

Intensive trading zone on daily charts

Last “structural defense” for bulls

Represents: the first stop for pullback / panic sell-off

📌 If BTC is just deep correction, SOL is very likely to oscillate here and leave shadows

🟠 Level Two: 72 – 78 (Very critical)

Important weekly support

The starting zone of the last major rally

Psychological and structural double defense line

👉 This is SOL’s “bull-bear dividing zone”

Hold: = deep correction, recovery opportunities remain

Break: = market begins to reassess SOL’s risk premium

This is the most realistic and common deep bottom zone

🔴 Level Three: 58 – 65

Last cycle’s platform bottom

Long-term funds’ true “safety cost zone”

Must meet conditions: BTC drops near or below 60k

Market experiences systemic panic

Leverage is fully wiped out

📌 This is the “faith test zone,” not a place for regular corrections

⚫ Extreme scenario: 45 – 50

Only valid under the following conditions:

Global systemic financial risk

Crypto industry’s structural black swan

Liquidity dries up completely

👉 Accident level, not a routine expectation

The above is just a level analysis; it does not necessarily mean the market will fall to the last level. Watch how the market moves; if trading spot, build positions in batches within these four levels.