What will be the bottom point of the current BTC bear market?
As of January 27, 2026, BTC's current price is approximately $90,000. The core range and scenarios for the 2026 bear market low are as follows, mainly depending on macro factors, ETF capital flows, and on-chain support strength.
1. Core Range (probability from high to low)
- Baseline (60%-70%): $58,000 - $65,000. Corresponds to 75% supply cost support, the breakeven line for miners after halving, combined with moderate ETF outflows, Federal Reserve tightening but not extreme, representing the typical institutional consensus bear mar
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