Every adjustment is an opportunity for strategic positioning. In January's market, the cryptocurrency market demonstrates the value of dollar-cost averaging.

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The global capital markets have recently shown a starkly different trend — traditional stock markets are entering a relatively easy profit-taking period, while the crypto markets face a complex environment. Against this backdrop, adopting a global perspective to participate in the markets has become a consensus among more and more participants in the crypto space. When the valuation and performance of stock and crypto markets diverge significantly, accurately grasping the timing of entry becomes especially important.

The Bull Market in A-shares Is Not Over Yet; Trading Volume and Leverage Data Signal Healthy Conditions

Recently, A-shares have performed strongly, with trading volume surpassing 3 trillion yuan, accounting for 2.54% of the total market turnover. Compared to the peak of the 2015 bear market at 3.37%, there is still room for growth. Based on this trend, when trading volume breaks through 4 trillion yuan, it may be considered a good time for a left-side top-fishing strategy.

From a leverage perspective, the margin financing and securities lending balance has reached 2.6 trillion yuan, a new historical high, representing 2.53% of the circulating market capitalization. Compared to the peak of over 4.5% during the 2015 bear market, current leverage use remains in a healthy, controlled upward phase. This indicates that on-market funds are still net inflows, market sentiment continues to build, and the bull market momentum has not yet waned.

Based on the above data, the current bull market in A-shares is still ongoing. After 16 consecutive positive days, the market could experience a 1-2 day sharp correction at any time. During these pullback points, investors need not hesitate excessively; opportunities for low-cost entry can be sought in hot sectors such as aerospace commercial, brain-machine interfaces, and AI applications.

ETH Staking Pressure Rapidly Declines, Crypto Market Prepares for Institutional Capital Reflow

The situation in the crypto market is much more complex. Recently, overall staking pressure has continued to shrink, but there has been no obvious net capital inflow, leaving the market in a stalemate. However, a noteworthy signal is that — the queue of Ethereum staking withdrawals has nearly disappeared by early January, a qualitative change from the peak queue of 2.6 million ETH.

This data shift indicates that staking withdrawal pressure is rapidly decreasing, and it’s only a matter of time before institutional capital begins to reflow. During this window, every market adjustment should be viewed as an excellent entry point, with high cost-performance, and even considered an ideal zone for periodic investments. For long-term participants, patience and gradual deployment strategies are more advisable.

Binance’s Annual Trading Volume Rivaling A-shares and US Stocks; Crypto Market Has Matured Asset Pool

From an institutional asset allocation perspective, the crypto market has evolved into a relatively mature investment category. According to Binance’s 2025 annual report, the platform’s annual trading volume reached $34 trillion, forming a tripartite competition with A-shares at $58 trillion and US stocks at $50 trillion. In terms of user scale, Binance has 300 million users, comparable to 250 million in A-shares and 200 million in US stocks.

This comparative data indicates that the crypto market is no longer a niche investment but a major option for large institutions to include in their asset allocation. As stock market valuation and performance gradually decline and traditional investment returns become limited, the crypto market — which has long struggled to rise effectively — will become a major beneficiary of capital reflow.

The re-entry of institutional funds is highly likely to occur amid rising risks in the stock markets. When traditional market risk premiums increase, capital will naturally flow into the crypto market, which acts as a water reservoir, to improve overall portfolio success rates. However, this process requires more patience — after all, savvy funds are currently earning easy profits in neighboring stock markets, so who would be willing to immediately dive into a market still undergoing adjustments? But for investors prepared for long-term deployment, now is the best time to accumulate chips and wait for institutional reflow.

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