The truth about contracts: those who can't hold on will be eliminated, new money determines rise or fall

There's a fundamental rule hidden in the contract world: long and short positions are always equal.

But why can prices suddenly surge or plummet?
It all comes down to two points. Those who see through it have already made a fortune.

When no new money enters the market, it's a race to see who can't hold on first.
As soon as one side massively closes positions, the opposing side can't handle it,
the price directly rushes toward a new equilibrium point.
At this moment, fundamentals and policies barely move,
what changes are people's sentiments and the stubbornness to hold on.

When both sides can no longer endure, the direction where new money stands will determine the rise or fall.
If new funds collectively go long, the longs will directly swallow the stop-loss shorts,
pushing the price to the sky; if they all go short,
the shorts can break through the bulls' defenses, triggering a stampede of liquidations in minutes.

Market movements are never just analyzed; they are hammered out with real money.
Your market prediction is essentially guessing where the next wave of funds will enter,
and which story you're willing to pay for.

Bullish data floods the screen, but if no one buys in, prices still fall;
even if the technical pattern looks perfect and breaks down, once the automated stop-loss triggers,
no matter how strong the fundamentals are, it will still crash.

The market doesn't care about the truth; it only recognizes who is actually putting real money on the line.
No matter how logical your reasoning, if no one joins your team, it's useless;
no matter how outrageous your opinion, if you have enough capital backing you, it becomes the truth.

Futures trading is not just simple contract trading,
it's a death match of longs and shorts over time, capital, and conviction.
Whoever can't hold on first, panics, or presses the close button, is out.
The winner is simply the one who accurately predicts the flow of new money.

In the short term, market movements are about capital battles and human nature,
while the long-term trend is anchored in fundamentals. Combining both is the complete futures logic.