Next week's US CPI will be the key: the Fed's continuous statements, gold and silver continue to benefit

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The market just experienced the first trading week of 2026 with very positive performance. Precious assets have shown strong appeal - spot gold increased over 4% with an absolute gain of more than 177 USD, while spot silver rose nearly 10% (equivalent to more than 7 USD). This is the result of a combination of geopolitical tensions and expectations of changes in Fed’s monetary policy.

US CPI will determine market trends this week

The key event that the market will closely monitor is the release of the December (US CPI) consumer price index, scheduled for Tuesday morning. This figure is likely to have a strong impact on investor sentiment and will determine the direction of gold and silver prices in the coming days.

At the same time, other data policies will also be announced - the November retail sales (monthly) and the producer price index (PPI) will be released on Wednesday. These figures will help analysts and the Fed shape a comprehensive inflation picture.

Fed officials will continue to speak out

This week features a series of speeches from Federal Reserve leaders. From Tuesday to Friday, Fed Chairpersons from various branches (Atlanta, Richmond, New York, St. Louis, Philadelphia, Minneapolis) will share their views on economic prospects.

Notably, these speeches will focus on the national economic outlook as well as specific regional conditions. The Fed’s Beige Book report on Thursday morning will also provide deeper insights into the current economic situation.

Labor market data and import costs will become clearer

Thursday will see the release of labor market indicators - specifically, the initial unemployment claims for the week ending January 10. At the same time, regional manufacturing indices (from Fed New York and Philadelphia) along with the import price index for November will also be published.

All this data will help the market gain a clearer view of the US economy’s health. US CPI and related data will be key factors in deciding whether the Fed will continue to cut interest rates or maintain the current rate.

Overall, next week will be very busy for the market, with US CPI being the most important focus.

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