Canada retail sales data show an interesting picture – for the month of November, sales increased by 1.2 percent compared to the previous month. This significantly exceeded expectations, as analysts had anticipated a 1.1 percent decline. Last month's data showed a 1.0 percent decrease.
But there is another detail that draws attention – excluding the oil sector from the retail sales. Here we see a decline of 1.8 percent. Expectations were positive: a 0.1 percent increase. The previous period's figure was also a 0.1 percent increase.
What's going on here? The growth in manufacturing sales looks good at a superficial glance, but the decline in oil-excluded sales indicates that start-up sales are carrying the overall better result. This raises questions about future dynamism.
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HashRateHermit
· 8h ago
The data supporting oil prices is a bit concerning in reality.
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DegenWhisperer
· 8h ago
Oil prices have risen, and without oil, it drops. Canada's data seems a bit fake...
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WalletsWatcher
· 8h ago
Oil rescue, remove the oil price and it drops directly. This data is a bit hard to hold up.
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LiquidationAlert
· 8h ago
Wait, is oil and gas data so strong? Removing oil sales, it directly drops by 1.8%. Doesn't that mean the entire growth is supported by energy?
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DaoResearcher
· 8h ago
The data doesn't look right, brother. The apparent growth is all supported by oil...
According to the logic in the white paper, this is a typical signal of economic structural imbalance, and the incentive mechanism needs to be re-evaluated.
Fake growth caused by fluctuations in energy prices, the real demand is actually shrinking... This is a dead signal in macro models.
The surface data looks good but the core logic has collapsed. It feels like "political data beautification" before governance proposals are approved—illusory prosperity.
Key indicators drop sharply after excluding energy, indicating that the market fundamentals simply can't support the growth narrative.
Canada retail sales data show an interesting picture – for the month of November, sales increased by 1.2 percent compared to the previous month. This significantly exceeded expectations, as analysts had anticipated a 1.1 percent decline. Last month's data showed a 1.0 percent decrease.
But there is another detail that draws attention – excluding the oil sector from the retail sales. Here we see a decline of 1.8 percent. Expectations were positive: a 0.1 percent increase. The previous period's figure was also a 0.1 percent increase.
What's going on here? The growth in manufacturing sales looks good at a superficial glance, but the decline in oil-excluded sales indicates that start-up sales are carrying the overall better result. This raises questions about future dynamism.