Prediction markets are pricing in growing odds of Federal Reserve Chair Powell stepping down before May. On Polymarket, the probability currently sits at 12%, while Kalshi's market reflects a higher estimate of 19%. The divergence between these two platforms highlights differing market expectations around Fed leadership changes in the coming months. Such shifts in monetary policy leadership often drive significant implications for asset valuations across crypto and traditional markets.
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Prediction markets are pricing in growing odds of Federal Reserve Chair Powell stepping down before May. On Polymarket, the probability currently sits at 12%, while Kalshi's market reflects a higher estimate of 19%. The divergence between these two platforms highlights differing market expectations around Fed leadership changes in the coming months. Such shifts in monetary policy leadership often drive significant implications for asset valuations across crypto and traditional markets.