2026-01-12 05:20:15

Monday opening, the overall market fluctuated upward, and trading volume clearly increased. But we need to view this rationally—this position shouldn't be greedy, and short-term risks still need to be guarded against.

Regarding sector rotation, hot sectors are once again gaining strength, with gains exceeding 5%, a standard performance of volume increase and price rise. There were indeed some positive news over the weekend that boosted bullish sentiment. Friends who have already entered the market should hold on unless there is a clear sell signal; those who haven't entered yet are advised not to chase high at this position— the 5-day moving average divergence is already significant, and the MACD is opening too wide, indicating that short-term consolidation and oscillation are inevitable technical trends.

Looking at the index, it continues to advance along the 5-day moving average, and there are no signs of ending yet; this upward trend still continues. If you want to quickly judge the trend, just keep an eye on the 5-day moving average.

Structurally, the main board has broken through the second central zone and surged upward. The key support now is at 4098. As long as this line holds, there is theoretically room for further upward movement. However, when moving upward, be cautious of one thing—pullbacks after divergence, which are common technical traps that everyone should watch out for.

To summarize the short-term strategy: on one hand, observe the rhythm along the 5-day moving average; on the other hand, be alert for divergence during upward progress.

Looking at a different cycle, the weekly moving averages have returned to a bullish arrangement, which is a good signal. In the medium term, as long as the pullback does not break below 4034, every dip is an opportunity to add positions, so there's no need to be afraid. The core of short-term trading is: don't chase after gains, don't fear dips, and key is to keep the rhythm well-controlled.

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governance_lurker

· 5h ago

Here we go again with the same set: 5-day moving average, MACD, divergence... after all this talk, the same advice applies—don't chase highs, wait for a pullback.

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DAOdreamer

· 15h ago

The 5-day moving average is about to be tested again. Can it hold at 4098 this time? It's a bit uncertain. Why does it feel like every time we say not to chase high, those who do still make the fastest profits... I've seen this divergence pullback routine too many times. It's better to honestly stick to the weekly bullish alignment. Poor timing can lead to losses. It's easy to say, but really hard to do. If the 4034 line breaks, the mid-term logic will collapse directly. At that point, who will dare to add positions? Increased volume and rising prices sound comfortable, but no one can predict the exit timing.

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ChainChef

· 01-13 05:08

ngl this recipe's looking kinda sus rn... volume's simmering nicely but that macd spread is getting too thicc for comfort, not tryna get burnt here

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BtcDailyResearcher

· 01-12 05:50

The 5-day moving average has such a large deviation, still need to wait and see --- Same old story, don't chase after a rise, don't be afraid of a fall, it's that simple --- Hold onto 4098 and keep playing, what if it breaks? --- The weekly chart shows a good bullish arrangement, but the divergence can't be prevented with this move --- Bro, did you get caught again this time? Such a large deviation, and you still dare to add? --- Is the rhythm well set? Why do I always get it reversed? --- When MACD opens too wide, it must converge; this time, it probably won't escape --- Is the 4034 line really that solid? We said the same last year --- For those who have already entered, keep holding; it sounds easy, but can you really resist in practice? --- While increased volume and rising prices are standard, not many can catch this height

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DegenApeSurfer

· 01-12 05:48

You must hold the 5-day moving average line; otherwise, you'll have to start all over again.

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SerNgmi

· 01-12 05:47

The 5-day moving average is back again, I know this routine well, I say the same every time. Just now someone asked me if I want to chase the high, and I only have one word—wait. If 4098 can't hold, then it will really be lively. You say divergence pullback, but what I fear most is a sudden plunge, which I can't prevent. This wave of bullish arrangement is indeed good, but I just stare blankly because I don't have any tickets. Shouldn't we repeat every week that we shouldn't chase after a rise? But to be honest, we still have to respect the 5-day moving average; this thing does have some substance.

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BanklessAtHeart

· 01-12 05:37

The 5-day moving average is at it again, come on, we still need to watch the market sentiment. --- Here comes another "Don't chase the high," the words are correct, but I'm just worried I can't control my hand. --- The divergence pullback pattern, I listened too carefully last time, and ended up being comfortably trapped. --- Not being able to hold 4098 is truly exciting; I'll have to find support again then. --- The weekly chart shows a bullish arrangement, but the question is how many months it can last. --- Adding positions every day, but it's not me being timid, it's the market itself. --- "Don't chase the rise, don't fear the fall," easy to say, hard to do, everyone. --- The 5-day moving average is rising again, feels like this round of the market is almost over. --- The volume has increased, no doubt, but I've seen many fake breakouts like this. --- Still studying the technicals, I've already gone to check the news.

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TokenomicsDetective

· 01-12 05:28

You must hold the 5-day moving average line; otherwise, the technical picture will have to be rewritten. "Don't chase after gains" is a very accurate statement; every time, it's because of chasing highs that I get caught. If 4098 breaks, we have to admit defeat; there's no point in arguing. This wave of divergence and pullback is unavoidable; it all depends on how deep it can pull back. The weekly chart shows a good bullish arrangement, but the short-term divergence is indeed a bit strong. Hold steady with your stocks, don't mess around anymore. Still want to chase the limit-up? Bro, you're asking to get eaten.

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Ser_This_Is_A_Casino

· 01-12 05:25

It's the same old story, 5-day moving average, 4098, divergence... I've heard it so many times my ears are getting calloused, but I still have to watch the market myself. Wait, is the trading volume really this high? Probably just a trap to lure more buyers in. Adding positions for the mid-term? I haven't even figured out the short-term yet, let's just stay alive first. It's really brave to chase after this position; I wouldn't dare. Don't chase after gains when prices go up, and don't be afraid when they fall... Easy to say, but actually doing it is really tough, brother.

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LazyDevMiner

· 01-12 05:23

It's the same old story, 5-day moving average, MACD, divergence, all quite accurate but still easy to get trapped in actual trading. Hey, why do I see the 4098 support again? The last time I said the same thing, haha. The weekly bullish alignment is indeed good, but I'm worried it's just a mirage. Anyway, I'm currently holding cash and observing. Can you stop always thinking about adding positions? Let me break even first. This recent increase of over 5% is indeed tempting, but with MACD opening up like this, who dares to chase the high? The most difficult part is timing the rhythm; I always get it wrong with the expensive ones.

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