2026-01-11 02:22:29

The trend of BCH still maintains good resilience, and the strong pattern is still there. From the perspective of retracement, the deepest correction has a 30% probability of touching the support around 300, and in 50% of cases, it may stop falling at the 500 level. There is also an 80% chance that the pullback will only be about 5 points.

From the weekly, monthly, to yearly charts, the upward trend is very clear. The current strategy is to avoid the risk of a broad market decline; as long as it does not follow the overall market correction significantly, you can confidently continue to hold.

BCH-1,23%

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FalseProfitProphet

· 49m ago

Is the support at 300 really able to hold? Feels a bit optimistic. Can BCH break away from the overall market trend this time? That’s the key. Hold or reduce positions? Still undecided... The monthly chart is so strong, bought in on the trend, taking a gamble. There's a 50% chance at 500, what about the remaining 50%? Feeling a bit uneasy. Resilience is there, but I’m worried about a sudden black swan event. If the market drops again, BCH won’t be able to escape either. Let’s wait and see first. Is this small retracement of a few points a reliable prediction? What about the data support? A small retracement of 5 points? Then it’s a good time to buy the dip. Holding is fine, but don’t regret it if you get caught in a trap.

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SerRugResistant

· 22h ago

BCH's resilience is indeed decent, just worried about the market crashing together. But wait, is it a bit too optimistic that the 80% drop is only 5 points... Is the 500 support reliable? It feels like recent supports are easily broken. As long as I don't follow the market trend, I'll keep averaging down. Anyway, the long-term trend is fine. If the 300 support can't hold, I’ll have to admit defeat.

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BagHolderTillRetire

· 01-11 05:59

BCH's resilience is indeed impressive, but I'm worried that if the overall market moves together, everything will be ruined.

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MetaverseHomeless

· 01-11 02:52

BCH's resilience is real, just worried about a sudden market drop Always talking about probabilities, but in the end, the market decides Feels like the 300 support level is quite precarious, but holding the position as a long-term bet If we can withstand this wave without risking the market, it will be stable; the key still depends on the overall trend A five-point pullback? Then I’ll just pretend it never happened haha

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P2ENotWorking

· 01-11 02:51

bch this resilience is indeed impressive, but can the 300 support really hold? Feels uncertain --- It's the yearly, monthly, and weekly lines again. Every time it's the same story of following the trend down, I guess I'll believe it halfway --- I'm tired of hearing "avoid market risk," can we actually dodge it, friends? --- 500 to stop the fall? I bet on 5 points, but when the market comes, it will break through instantly --- Hold on, hold on, why do they keep telling us to hold? --- A strong pattern or whatever, let's wait until it retraces before talking --- It's a probability game—30%, 50%, 80%, what about the other possibilities? --- It's quite difficult to avoid a major market correction under this premise

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GasFeeCrier

· 01-11 02:50

300 dares to say this, is this analysis meant to scare people or do they really have enough confidence? Anyway, I don't dare to increase my position anymore.

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BTCRetirementFund

· 01-11 02:36

Forget it, BCH's resilience is indeed decent, but I'm just worried that if the market drops, we'll all get caught in the fallout. That 300 support level feels a bit shaky; I'm still optimistic about 500. Honestly, this move is just a gamble on the overall market not to tank too badly. If there's a slight pullback, I'll just keep holding. If it really follows the trend and drops sharply, it'll be awkward. Better to be cautious, no mistake about it.

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SchrodingerGas

· 01-11 02:36

This probability discussion seems a bit overconfident, stacking 30%, 50%, and 80% to imply inevitability? A typical hindsight bias. Holding isn't a problem, but don't be hypnotized by these "confidence" figures. In the face of a coordinated decline, probability tables are all worthless.

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