2026-01-09 02:24:21

SOL has been relatively stable over the past couple of days. Looking at the daily and 4-hour charts, the short-term 7-day and 25-day moving averages are clustered around the 135 to 136 range, forming a solid support level. The 99-day moving average is near 136.9, which marks the mid-term bullish and bearish boundary. The resistance level above is at the 140 integer mark; if broken, the price could potentially move towards the 145 to 148 range. On the downside, the key support is at 132.7 (the 24-hour low), and further below that is the psychological level at 130.

Regarding MACD, on the daily chart, DIF and DEA are moving sideways at low levels, with the green bars gradually narrowing, indicating a possible golden cross and suggesting that short-term momentum is warming up. The RSI (14) is currently around 52, in a neutral zone, with no signs of overbought or oversold conditions yet. The next move will mainly depend on whether trading volume can keep up.

Volume and price action are quite interesting. The 24-hour trading volume has gradually increased compared to previous days, and the price has also risen slightly, showing synchronized movement between volume and price. If trading volume significantly increases upon breaking the 140 level, it would be a clearer bullish signal. Conversely, if volume shrinks and the price pulls back to break below 132.7, it warrants caution for further downside risk.

Fundamentally, the Solana ecosystem remains active. Projects in DeFi, NFT, and GameFi are accelerating their deployment, with on-chain transaction volume and user numbers steadily growing. Institutional interest in SOL is also increasing, with ETF-related expectations continuously boosting market sentiment. Progress in cross-chain interoperability is smooth, with expanding application scenarios and liquidity.

As for risks, it’s important to note that the entire crypto market is highly sensitive to macroeconomic factors and regulatory policies. If there’s a Fed rate hike or stricter crypto regulations, SOL could likely follow the broader market and pull back. Caution is advised.

SOL-1,9%

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FallingLeaf

· 01-10 14:56

If 140 can't be broken, don't even think about it. It's better to observe the trading volume.

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Layer2Arbitrageur

· 01-09 02:52

honestly the volume story here is what matters... if we're seeing genuine accumulation at 135-136 support, there's an arbitrage window brewing between spot and perps. just ran the calcs—you're leaving ~50bps on the table if sol pumps through 140 without hedging your cross-chain exposure. ngmi energy if you're not accounting for bridge slippage rn.

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NftMetaversePainter

· 01-09 02:50

actually the algorithmic symmetry of sol's support-resistance topology here is what's genuinely fascinating—those moving average convergences aren't just technical noise, they're blockchain primitives revealing the computational substrate beneath market sentiment

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CexIsBad

· 01-09 02:42

If 140 can't be broken, it's still pointless. If the trading volume can't keep up, we have to reduce our positions.

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VCsSuckMyLiquidity

· 01-09 02:36

If 140 cannot be突破, we will continue to sideways trade, anyway the ecosystem is there. --- Honestly, DeFi activity is quite good, just worried that the Federal Reserve folks might cause trouble again. --- The green candle narrowing and forming a golden cross? Sounds good, but trading volume is still too weak. --- If it falls below 132.7, I will cut losses directly; I don't gamble on psychological levels like this. --- Institutions are buying SOL, and I am buying too, but how long can this ETF expectation last? --- Synchronous volume and price movement is a good sign; let's see if it can pick up volume next. --- I remember the 99-day moving average at 136.9; we should be cautious about regulatory risks. --- Is the news about the DeFi ecosystem accelerating its implementation true? I feel like it's still in the conceptual stage. --- The integer level 140 sounds a bit虚, but it's definitely worth paying attention to. --- Volume contraction and pullback are the most annoying; without volume, how can we tell if it will go up or down?

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BoredStaker

· 01-09 02:29

Once I break 140, I'll get in. Now it's just waiting for the volume to cooperate.

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