2026-01-09 01:24:19

Speaking of the past 8 years in the crypto world, the one point I want to emphasize most is: don't rely on superstitious predictions; the only truly reliable indicators are patterns that have been repeatedly verified and market realities.

This year hasn't started off smoothly. On January 1st, Bitcoin briefly dropped below $87,000, with 163,900 traders liquidated across the network, and the total liquidation amount reaching $157 million. How severe was this drop? Starting from the high of $126,000 in October 2025, the total retracement has exceeded 30%.

But that's not the most critical point. The real thing to watch out for is understanding what the trading volume is telling us during such sharp declines.

**High Volume vs Low Volume, How Big is the Difference**

I've seen too many people blindly buy the dip, only to find themselves deeper in the hole. The key is simple—during a sharp decline, the behavior of trading volume explains everything. If the daily trading volume exceeds 1.5 times the average volume, that's a clear sign of a high-volume decline, indicating panic selling is flooding the market, and the bottom hasn't been reached yet. Conversely, if the price keeps falling but the trading volume shrinks, it's likely the main players are shaking out weak hands, and the situation is entirely different.

Currently, the market is in the "bubble squeezing" phase. Standard Chartered Bank has lowered its target price for Bitcoin in 2026 from $300,000 to $150,000, reflecting institutional caution about short-term trends. However, they remain optimistic about the long term, waiting for regulatory frameworks to become clearer before seizing opportunities.

**Trading Volume is the Market's Heartbeat**

I often tell people, volume is the heartbeat, and price is the pulse. Looking at price movements without considering trading volume is just nonsense. Over the years in crypto, I've seen too many "false breakouts," which happen because there's no volume support—no matter how fierce the price surge, it's just a paper tiger.

With 8 years of trading experience, starting with $3,000, going through bear markets, missing out on bull runs, and even witnessing people get wiped out overnight, today I can stand firm mainly because I’ve learned to listen to what trading volume is telling me. Sharp declines are not scary; what's scary is not understanding what the market is trying to tell you through trading volume.

BTC1,5%

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BearMarketBuyer

· 01-10 17:50

Here we go again. Trading volume is indeed important, but to be honest, most retail investors simply don't understand how the big players operate. Having gone through too many stories of "big players shaking out" only to end up zeroing out, who would dare to believe these days? Standard Chartered cut from 300,000 to 150,000, just listen and don't take it seriously. Institutional rhetoric is always like that. The theory of price-volume matching is correct, but in practice, it's really damn hard. One misstep and you're trapped. Eight years of experience sounds impressive, but I bet before 2023, I also lost quite a bit. To be honest, everyone is the same. A big drop isn't scary; what's scary is having no money to buy the dip. That's the real problem.

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MetaNeighbor

· 01-09 21:22

A shrinking decline is a shakeout; a volume surge to smash the market is still a bottom-fall, don't panic sell randomly --- Standard Chartered cut from 300,000 to 150,000, institutions are also panicking, this bubble needs to be squeezed out --- Really, fake breakouts are the most disgusting; moves without volume are all scams --- I just want to ask, is it a volume-down decline or a volume-up decline? Can't see clearly --- Eight years from 3,000 entry to today, just rely on one word: watch the volume --- Trading volume lies, prices can also lie, but looking at both together reveals the truth --- On the day 160,000 people got liquidated, I knew this was just the beginning of squeezing the bubble

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CoinBasedThinking

· 01-09 01:47

At the end of the day, it still depends on volume; otherwise, it's just gambling. All the buddies around me who got liquidated were just mindlessly buying the dip, not even able to read candlestick charts. --- A shrinking volume indicates that the main players are accumulating. Many people get this wrong. When there's high volume selling, do you still want to buy the dip? Then just wait for zero. --- Standard Chartered lowered its target price to 150,000, indicating that institutions are also watching. It's indeed tough in the short term, but the long-term logic hasn't been broken. The key is to stay alive until that day. --- After 8 years, the only strategy that has survived is paying close attention to trading volume. Those who shout signals every day are mostly just big scams. --- Price movement detached from trading volume is really just self-deception. I've seen too many people lose so much that they start doubting life. --- The wave in January that caused 160,000 liquidations was mostly because people couldn't understand the market's heartbeat. That's the price to pay, remember that.

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DarkPoolWatcher

· 01-09 01:45

160,000 people wiped out, this is the price of ignoring trading volume, truly frightening --- High volume is panic selling, panic selling to escape, at this point buying the dip is just giving away money, those who understand are waiting for volume to shrink --- Volume heartbeat, price pulse, so well said, how many people have died from fake breakouts without realizing it --- Surviving from 3000 to now relies on this set of skills, everything else is a scam --- Standard Chartered lowered from 300,000 to 150,000, indicating that institutions are also backing down, don’t expect too much in the short term --- The biggest gain from 8 years of ups and downs is learning to keep quiet and let the K-line speak --- Out of 16.39 million people, how many were liquidated due to leveraged margin calls? That number is really heartbreaking --- Is a volume decline the main force's shakeout? Why do I feel like all the funds have already escaped? --- Knowing about trading volume makes money, not knowing turns you into a leek, reality is so harsh --- Don’t blindly believe in predictions, just believe in trading volume? Feels like it’s still a gamble on probabilities --- Only after experiencing liquidation to zero do you realize certain things, beginners definitely won’t listen --- The market is now squeezing the bubble, in simple terms, it’s washing out retail investors, shrinking volume is the opportunity to get in

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MidnightTrader

· 01-09 01:35

That's right, ignoring trading volume is really pointless. A decrease in volume is actually an opportunity; if the price drops with high volume, just keep waiting. This 30% correction, are you still holding on, bro? Honestly, everyone around me who got liquidated was the kind to chase rallies and sell on dips. Standard Chartered downgraded to 150,000, and I actually feel a bit relieved. Let it fall if it needs to. If you don't understand volume and price, don't touch leverage—it's a bloody lesson.

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