2026-01-09 01:23:37

There may be intense fluctuations in the next 12 hours, so pay attention to the consecutive impacts of two U.S. events.

The Supreme Court is expected to make a tariff ruling at 10:00 AM Eastern Time. According to Polymarket's market forecast, the probability of the court overturning Trump's tariff policy is about 77%. Once the ruling is announced, the market may react instantly—any outcome in either direction could trigger a rapid adjustment.

Such major policy events often bring short-term directional shocks. If the tariff policy is overturned, risk assets may see an upward opportunity; conversely, they may come under pressure. The crypto market is always sensitive to such macro uncertainties and may amplify volatility in the short term. It is recommended to closely monitor the timing of the ruling announcement and prepare for risk management in advance.

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DefiSecurityGuard

· 01-11 11:43

nah, this is textbook MEV bait setup. court decision at 10am? literally screaming flash loan opportunity. 77% odds on polymarket lol, those odds shift like sandwich attacks anyway. not touching this until i see the actual ruling on-chain. DYOR.

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faded_wojak.eth

· 01-10 11:30

77% overturned? What about the remaining 23%? I have a feeling it will be pushed to the maximum in the opposite direction.

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SurvivorshipBias

· 01-09 01:53

77% overturned? That means there's still a 23% chance of continuing with tariffs. In that case, both scenarios could be profitable... Actually, I mean both could result in losses haha

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DegenWhisperer

· 01-09 01:51

77% overturn? That probability doesn't seem so certain. The chance of a reverse face smash also truly exists.

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HodlVeteran

· 01-09 01:49

Uh... 77% chance of overturning? Why do I feel like this number is about the same as my success rate in bottom fishing [dog head] The last time I heard about "12-hour intense fluctuations" was in 2021, and I went all-in for three days and nights, only to end up with nothing. Before 10 AM, I suggest everyone go grab a coffee and calm down, don’t stare at the charts until your eyes go blind. This move by the court feels like they’re about to cut a new wave of new victims... Forget it, I’ll just hold my big pancake and go to sleep.

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TheMemefather

· 01-09 01:47

77% chance of being overturned? The market has already priced it in; the greater possibility is a reverse surge tomorrow.

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