2026-01-09 00:23:40

Trump recently gave a hint in a media interview: the new Federal Reserve Chairperson has been decided, but it has not been announced yet. "I already have a decision in mind," he said, "but I haven't discussed it with anyone."

Regarding whether Chief Economic Advisor Hasset can take the position, Trump gave a cryptic answer. He didn't directly say "no," but instead spoke highly of Hasset—"He is definitely one of the people I admire most." This comment sparked market speculation about Hasset.

The upcoming situation the new Chairperson will face is a bit tricky. The Federal Reserve is currently in the spotlight, and the President has publicly pressured for a significant rate cut. The latest forecast from the prediction market Kalshi shows that Kevin Waugh has the highest probability of becoming Federal Reserve Chair at 41%; Kevin Hasset is close behind at 39%; Christopher Waller has a relatively low support rate of about 12%.

Regardless of who ultimately gets the position, this decision will have a profound impact on global financial markets.

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Rugpull幸存者

· 01-11 23:31

Here comes another trick of "I have the answer but won't tell you," do you understand this is called teasing... Wosh and Hasset are almost 41% and 39%, it feels like rolling dice at a gambling table, really? This guy wants to step down and starts pressuring the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. The new chair hasn't even taken office and is already being grilled, hilarious... Trump's combination punch, the market must tremble a bit. 41% vs 39%, what can this gap do... Whoever takes over can't escape the fate of "must listen to the president," wake up everyone.

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TokenomicsPolice

· 01-09 16:24

Trump's trick of "I know what's going on but I'll keep it a secret for now," the market has to guess and speculate... With Wash and Hasset's probabilities so close, bettors are probably going to be anxious to death.

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RektRecorder

· 01-09 04:48

Trump's way of speaking really has a method—first tease the audience, then say "I have the numbers but I won't tell you," and the market people must be going crazy haha

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ImaginaryWhale

· 01-09 00:53

Trump's way of playing riddles is really top-notch; one word "appreciate" has the market in a state of panic, haha.

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RuntimeError

· 01-09 00:53

Already seen this? When Trump says "already decided," it actually means no decision has been made. Just wait and see. --- Hasset's move this time is really brilliant. The market gets excited just from a compliment, so funny. --- Wosh at 41% probability? It feels more like a gamble on who can better follow Trump's lead and cut interest rates. --- The Federal Reserve Chair is now just a hot potato. Whoever takes the job will be criticized. There’s no perfect answer when it comes to interest rates. --- They say "not yet communicated," but in reality, the candidates have probably already been planning their speeches. --- Can you trust these poll numbers? Market predictions change all the time. It feels like capital is just playing with numbers. --- With such pressure to cut rates, the new chair will face a storm of criticism. If it were me, I wouldn’t want the job. --- One at 41%, the other at 39%. The gap between these two is really small. In the end, it might just come down to flipping a coin.

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MainnetDelayedAgain

· 01-09 00:52

According to the Kalshi database, how many days has the suspense over this list of candidates been brewing? Trump's promises will eventually come true; just wait for the flowers to bloom.

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LiquidationWatcher

· 01-09 00:50

Using this set again? The "already decided" signals from Trump's mouth are always smoke screens. Hassett has a 41% chance, Waugh 39%, these two are basically neck and neck, and it's not surprising whoever takes office. The real issue is the interest rate; whether it goes down or not is the true question. The new chair will be under heavy pressure and won't have an easy time.

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DAOTruant

· 01-09 00:48

It's the same old trick of "I have a plan but I'll keep you in suspense," Trump is really playing this move well haha Wosh 41% versus Hasset 39%, these two are really just a hair apart, who will take the top spot, it's nerve-wracking Promised to support Hasset but the probability still favors Wosh, this is awkward The new chairman is under pressure to cut interest rates right after taking office, how will they get through this, I feel a bit sympathetic Web3 is definitely heavily betting on the gambling table, waiting to see who hits the jackpot

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GasSavingMaster

· 01-09 00:37

You're starting to play word games again, just not saying it directly. I'm tired of Trump's tricks. 41% vs 39%, Wash and Hasset are only 2 percentage points apart. Whoever takes the top spot, the Federal Reserve will have to be pressured to cut interest rates. LOL. The financial markets are going to be turbulent now.

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