The current market environment provides favorable support for digital assets. The Congressional Budget Office forecasts that the Federal Reserve's interest rate will fall to 3.4% by Q4 2026, and U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen has publicly supported further rate cuts to stimulate investment. Meanwhile, Ethereum's BPO fork has enhanced the scalability of layer-two networks, providing a technical foundation for its long-term value.
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin shows some signs of weakness that warrant attention. Although the daily MACD remains positive, the trend has peaked, with DIF declining from 987.62 to 726.74, and HIST narrowing to 521.77, indicating waning upward momentum. The 15-minute RSI(6) reading is 58.77, in a neutral to slightly weak zone. Under these conditions, market leverage remains cautious—open interest accounts for only 2.33% of market cap, funding rates stay at 0.060%, and long participation is at 74.36%.
Based on this context, a phased accumulation strategy can be considered. The first support zone is between $89,800 and $90,200 (about 0.6-1.1% below the current price), and the second support level is between $88,800 and $89,000, which carries lower risk. It is recommended to enter in batches, allocating 40-50% of total capital per support level.
As for profit-taking targets, they can be divided into three stages: first at $91,500 (approximately 0.8% increase), then at $93,500 (about 2.9%), and finally at $95,000 (around 4.6%). For risk control, set a hard stop-loss at $88,400 (a 2.6% decline) to protect capital. Considering market conditions, leverage should be controlled within 2-3 times, especially for traders with lower risk appetite.
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BearMarketHustler
· 01-09 21:56
89800, can that level really be bottomed out? It feels like it still needs to fall further.
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VitalikFanboy42
· 01-09 00:50
Wait a minute, with this MACD top signal, how can there still be people daring to go all-in? I'll just play it safe and buy in batches. Anyway, with the interest rate cut expectations out there, there's no rush.
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MeaninglessGwei
· 01-09 00:48
Oh my, it's the same old MACD topping pattern. Can it really break this time?
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ConfusedWhale
· 01-09 00:43
The expectation of interest rate cuts is indeed positive, but the MACD hitting a top is something to consider... When momentum is exhausted, do you still dare to chase?
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just_here_for_vibes
· 01-09 00:37
The expectation of interest rate cuts is a good sign, but the MACD peaking is indeed a bit annoying.
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EyeOfTheTokenStorm
· 01-09 00:36
MACD peaks, DIF straight line drops. Can the current bullish trend hold? Feels like it might drop further later on.
The current market environment provides favorable support for digital assets. The Congressional Budget Office forecasts that the Federal Reserve's interest rate will fall to 3.4% by Q4 2026, and U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen has publicly supported further rate cuts to stimulate investment. Meanwhile, Ethereum's BPO fork has enhanced the scalability of layer-two networks, providing a technical foundation for its long-term value.
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin shows some signs of weakness that warrant attention. Although the daily MACD remains positive, the trend has peaked, with DIF declining from 987.62 to 726.74, and HIST narrowing to 521.77, indicating waning upward momentum. The 15-minute RSI(6) reading is 58.77, in a neutral to slightly weak zone. Under these conditions, market leverage remains cautious—open interest accounts for only 2.33% of market cap, funding rates stay at 0.060%, and long participation is at 74.36%.
Based on this context, a phased accumulation strategy can be considered. The first support zone is between $89,800 and $90,200 (about 0.6-1.1% below the current price), and the second support level is between $88,800 and $89,000, which carries lower risk. It is recommended to enter in batches, allocating 40-50% of total capital per support level.
As for profit-taking targets, they can be divided into three stages: first at $91,500 (approximately 0.8% increase), then at $93,500 (about 2.9%), and finally at $95,000 (around 4.6%). For risk control, set a hard stop-loss at $88,400 (a 2.6% decline) to protect capital. Considering market conditions, leverage should be controlled within 2-3 times, especially for traders with lower risk appetite.