2026-01-08 13:31:56

U.S. initial jobless claims data is about to explode. At 21:30 tonight, when this key employment data is released, the entire safe-haven asset market will move accordingly. Market expectations are at 215,000, compared to 211,000 last week. The numbers don't seem far apart, but this indicator is a crucial signal for Federal Reserve policy, and the impact is profound.

In the short term, the market will definitely be shaken by this data, and gold prices will fluctuate wildly. But let's not just focus on the short term; look at the bigger picture.

Why do gold and Bitcoin, these two safe-haven assets, still have potential? The underlying logic is quite clear:

**Expectations of rate cuts are heating up**. The Federal Reserve's December meeting minutes clearly state that as long as inflation stabilizes, further rate cuts are a certainty. The call for a rate cut in March is growing louder. A low-interest-rate environment means no returns from savings, making non-yield assets like gold and Bitcoin more attractive.

**Geopolitical tensions are escalating again**. Frictions between the U.S. and Venezuela are intensifying, activating safe-haven sentiment in global capital markets. At this time, investors are looking for safe havens, and assets like gold and Bitcoin are in high demand.

**Central banks are still aggressively buying gold**. The People's Bank of China has increased its gold holdings for 14 consecutive months. Central banks worldwide are following suit, and gold ETFs continue to attract funds. This creates an upward momentum, laying a solid foundation for gold prices. As for Bitcoin, institutional investors are also increasingly entering the market, with a similar story.

A reminder: tonight's data will cause very intense market volatility. Don't be led by the nose. Keep your positions tight, wait for clear directional signals before acting. Chasing the market or panic selling is the fastest way to lose money. Patience and discipline are key in investing.

BTC3,14%

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BlockchainFries

· 01-11 11:05

Hey, huge data release tonight, gotta watch the market until dawn again Is gold and Bitcoin really a guaranteed win? Feels like I say this every time I respect the central bank buying gold, but are institutional investors really entering Bitcoin or just cutting the leeks again? Honestly, it still depends on the Fed's stance. Will there really be a rate cut? Position control is tight; don't get cut and it's not worth it

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governance_lurker

· 01-09 14:55

Lower interest rates + geopolitical situation, indeed a bit hard to hold on, tonight's data needs to be examined carefully

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VibesOverCharts

· 01-08 14:02

With the expectation of interest rate cuts coming together, how much further can this rally fall?

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OptionWhisperer

· 01-08 14:02

Interest rate cuts are a done deal, and the central bank is still疯狂堆金子 (crazy stacking gold). I buy into this logic. --- Tonight's data is just a smokescreen; the real script has long been written. --- Gold and Bitcoin both outperforming, talking as if it's real—get ready to be weeded out. --- Those bottom-fishing for gold are laughing; the central bank has been buying for 14 months, what are you still hesitating for? --- Don't tell me about controlling positions; when FOMO kicks in, no one can control themselves. That's just how this industry is. --- Geopolitical tensions heat up, gold rises—this logic can last ten years, and it always works. --- Unemployment benefit data fluctuates, but in the long run, it's still those central banks deciding the direction. --- Institutions are entering Bitcoin, the central bank is buying gold—what about retail investors? Still waiting for the historical bottom.

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BlockchainNewbie

· 01-08 14:00

Wait a minute, the central bank is疯狂 buying gold, are we retail investors a bit too late to follow and buy?

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OvertimeSquid

· 01-08 13:53

Damn, the data tonight is really going to cause a stir. I've already reduced my positions in advance. The Black Swan is coming, react quickly, don't say I didn't warn you. The central bank's frantic gold purchases are indeed aggressive, and Bitcoin is also benefiting. Once the interest rate cut expectations are confirmed, BTC will take off directly. By then, it will be too late to regret. Geopolitical tensions are escalating, risk aversion is soaring, and institutions are really bottom-fishing.

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GasFeeCry

· 01-08 13:47

Tonight at 21:30, the market will start to explode. I bet five dollars it will exceed expectations. --- The fact that the central bank is frantically buying gold is truly incredible. It feels like the whole world is betting on safe-haven assets. --- Don’t be fooled by short-term fluctuations. This is the real logic. --- The phrase "strictly control positions" is said too harshly. Many people can't accept it and end up getting trapped. --- With such strong expectations of interest rate cuts, Bitcoin should have already started to rally. What are we still hesitating for? --- When geopolitical tensions rise, gold goes up. I believe in this logic. --- Really, I get nervous before big data releases like this, afraid that my account could be gone overnight. --- Is the mention of institutional entry hinting at something? It seems that big players have been accumulating recently. --- Looking at 215,000 vs. 211,000 doesn’t seem like much, but this can break your stop-loss. --- Patience and discipline—easy to say, very hard to do. Who doesn’t want to chase gains and cut losses?

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ProbablyNothing

· 01-08 13:47

When the data explodes, gold will definitely follow suit, but my big brother is right, don't chase the highs. The rate cut is really coming; at that time, holding cash will be in favor. The central bank is frantically buying gold, and we retail investors can just join in and enjoy some soup. Have you controlled your positions, everyone? Don't go all-in tonight; I can't understand this wave. Gold's strong safe-haven attribute, so why is Bitcoin still falling so much? Am I not understanding it thoroughly? Geopolitical tensions heating up = funds seek safe havens. The logic is clear, but executing it is really difficult. Waiting at 21:30 to be smashed; I bet the data will be off the charts, and the rate cut expectations will soar. Even the central bank is stockpiling gold, do you understand what that means? Smart folks are taking action. Chasing the highs and selling the lows, I quit this trick a long time ago, but sometimes I still get itchy and want to go all-in. Position management is really the most boring but most crucial lesson in investing.

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TheShibaWhisperer

· 01-08 13:40

With such a high call for interest rate cuts, saving money is really the only option left. Gold and Bitcoin are more stable.

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