2026-01-08 04:26:41

Recently, I’ve been watching a few new TGE projects and discovered a very painful pattern—those I’m most optimistic about tend to drop the hardest. $ZTC is a living example. In the first wave of projects launching at the start of the year, two extremes are clearly evident: some people make a fortune, while others get wiped out.

Carefully reviewing the trading records during this period, the more confident the judgment, the more likely it is to be slapped in the face by the market. Those seemingly "big-picture" choices often turn out to be the biggest pitfalls. Conversely, projects that are participated in casually with little confidence tend to surge wildly.

This isn’t a matter of probability; it feels more like a certain pattern. Maybe the problem isn’t in analytical ability but in the way of thinking itself. Instead of painstakingly analyzing fundamentals, it might be better to try reverse thinking—execute your judgments in the opposite way, and perhaps the results will be surprisingly good.

Of course, this is just a semi-joking rant, but it also reflects my recent real feelings. The new coin market is like this—always full of surprises.

ZTC-11,89%

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

14 Likes

Reward
14
5
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

GasFeeCrybaby

· 01-08 04:56

Your reverse operation approach, I've tried it... and ended up losing even more in the reverse. I was also watching that ZTC trade, was hyping it in the group when I was optimistic, now I don't dare look at my position. To be honest, the more I study fundamentals, the more I fall into traps. Sometimes going all-in randomly actually leads to gains. But I still can't believe in the "reverse execution" method; it feels like self-comfort after losing. New coins are just gambling; don't fool yourself into thinking it's investing.

View OriginalReply0

ForkTrooper

· 01-08 04:55

I do it myself this way, buying low and selling high in reverse, and this month's profit is really fucking outrageous.

View OriginalReply0

AltcoinTherapist

· 01-08 04:54

Haha, once again beaten down by the market. Looks like I need to switch to being a contrarian indicator. ZTC this wave is indeed incredible; the more I study, the more it feels like I'm losing money. Contrarian operation? I'm afraid if I go against the trend again and again, I'll end up getting cut. It's actually just throwing a tantrum; no one can predict stably. All those predictions are just post-hoc rationalizations. Damn, maybe I should just go all-in on the next project blindly; I might actually make money instead. This market is ridiculous. Sometimes, you can make money just by not wanting to, and when you want to, you get wrecked. Could it be that my judgment is really that bad, or is the crypto world just like this? Instead of analyzing anything, it's faster to just follow the hype and trends. Next time, try to do the opposite of what I think; anyway, both ways lead to losses. Feels like these new project teams are just waiting for us to lose confidence. Luckily, I didn't go all-in on ZTC, or I would have lost even my underwear.

View OriginalReply0

BankruptcyArtist

· 01-08 04:48

I think this reverse thinking approach is a bit too aggressive, do you really dare to do it backwards? --- I was also involved in that wave of $ZTC. The more confident I was, the more thoroughly I lost, hilarious. --- Damn, the biggest trap is always the one you study for half a day, truly incredible. --- The small coins I randomly invested in actually made a profit, how ironic is that? --- No joke, this really reflects the current situation, it's heartbreaking. --- Try executing the opposite of your judgment? Let me know the result if you’ve tried. --- The more you believe in fundamentals, the more you get cut. What’s going on here? --- A few TGE events at the start of the year, the profit and loss differences are really worlds apart. --- Feels like the new coin market is just a game to mess with people. --- Having strong analytical skills makes it easier to step into traps, strange things happen every year.

View OriginalReply0

BlockchainBard

· 01-08 04:46

Haha, I also got caught in the ZTC wave, everything I was optimistic about collapsed. Confidence can actually be poison. I'm almost making money by doing the opposite now. Honestly, this reverse thinking sounds like gambling, but it seems to really have some basis. In this new coin market, the more you try to calculate, the more you lose. Going all in randomly can actually take off. Wait, how does your logic sound like you're just rationalizing your defeat? I have that feeling too, as if I'm actually a reverse indicator for the market. I can't understand this market anymore; who profits and who loses seems to have no pattern. Is your analytical ability the problem here? Reverse thinking? Bro, that's just self-deception. Probabilities don't improve just because you turn them around. The day before yesterday, also tried reverse operations, but still lost. Broke my defenses. This must be the curse of human nature—being smart backfires. You hit the nail on the head, bro. My mentality has collapsed recently. It's really just a matter of luck. Don't rationalize your losses.

View OriginalReply0